https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728
Listen to the original recordings, then read the written Forecast vs. Reality review in each episode's description. We compare temperatures, snowfall, timing, storm tracks and severity using NOAA, National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center and international meteorological-agency observations, with source links in the notes. When an outcome cannot be verified exactly, we say so; reports of weather already observed are not counted as advance forecasts.

Popular Archive episodes are ordered by recording/content date. Source-edition publication dates are listed separately when an episode is a later reissue. Popular is the original publisher's selection label, not a current ranked chart.

Historical recordings and retrospective analysis only, not current weather guidance. The review is written only; it is not spoken in the original audio.

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>enEarth SciencesCopyright Simchahttps://d3wo5wojvuv7l.cloudfront.net/t_rss_itunes_square_1400/images.spreaker.com/original/7a669db8432d9f3fae26cfc906ab0289.jpghttps://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:52:54 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmSimchafeeds@spreaker.comWas the forecast right? Did the Forecast Hold? revisits the Weather With Enthusiasm archive and checks what actually happened against official weather records. Listen to the original recordings, then read the written Forecast vs. Reality review in...
Listen to the original recordings, then read the written Forecast vs. Reality review in each episode's description. We compare temperatures, snowfall, timing, storm tracks and severity using NOAA, National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center and international meteorological-agency observations, with source links in the notes. When an outcome cannot be verified exactly, we say so; reports of weather already observed are not counted as advance forecasts.

Popular Archive episodes are ordered by recording/content date. Source-edition publication dates are listed separately when an episode is a later reissue. Popular is the original publisher's selection label, not a current ranked chart.

Historical recordings and retrospective analysis only, not current weather guidance. The review is written only; it is not spoken in the original audio.

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>falseaa3228e0-3294-5127-8876-d4257e462f43serialSupport the podcast!https://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-01-chicago-heat-and-hurricane-henri-2021-08-19--75861221 (00:02:06) Humidity, dew points and the weekend
(00:03:10) Cold front and next week's heat
(00:05:20) Heat index and wet-bulb questions
(00:07:26) Cooldown outlook and Henri
(00:11:33) Dew-point confidence and next week's temperatures
(00:12:54) Final Monday–Wednesday forecast

POPULAR ARCHIVE 01 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2021-08-19. Verified source-edition publication: 2021-08-20 03:25:42 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A useful advance call on the coming heat and Henri's development, alongside an accurate recap of the previous week's temperatures; the main refinements are peak heat, cooldown timing and Henri's strength at landfall.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Around 90°F in Chicago Monday through Wednesday, August 23–25; a cooldown late in the week; and Henri reaching New England as a Category 1 hurricane.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The host's primary call was around 90°F, but he also explicitly allowed for mid-90s temperatures if the air proved drier. That conditional possibility deserves recognition, rather than treating the realized mid-90s as something the episode never considered. Henri becoming a hurricane and Henri arriving at hurricane strength are separate parts of the forecast.

O'Hare reached 87°F on August 23, 95°F on August 24, and 94°F on August 25, compared with the recording's upper-80s to low-90s expectation.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json)

The predicted late-week return to upper-70s highs did not happen at O'Hare: August 26–28 reached 90°F, 91°F, and 92°F.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json)

The recording's retrospective Sunday-through-Thursday highs of 80, 80, 84, 86, and 88°F do match O'Hare's August 15–19 observations.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json)

Henri became a Category 1 hurricane on August 21, but weakened to a tropical storm before its August 22 Rhode Island landfalls, with maximum sustained winds of 55 knots (about 65 mph).
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This station check does not verify neighborhood dew points, heat index, wet-bulb estimates, or St. Louis predictions; hurricane category describes the cyclone's maximum winds, not every landfall location.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Opening and last week's O'Hare temperatures
02:06 Humidity, dew points and the weekend
03:10 Cold front and next week's heat
05:20 Heat index and wet-bulb questions
07:26 Cooldown outlook and Henri
11:33 Dew-point confidence and next week's temperatures
12:54 Final Monday–Wednesday forecast

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 53252138. Original source edition: ✔🎵8-19: Rating accuracy(Most Popular Summer)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861221Mon, 19 Oct 2026 15:59:47 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 01 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:02:06) Humidity, dew points and the weekend
(00:03:10) Cold front and next week's heat
(00:05:20) Heat index and wet-bulb questions
(00:07:26) Cooldown outlook and Henri
(00:11:33) Dew-point confidence and next week's temperatures
(00:12:54) Final Monday–Wednesday forecast

POPULAR ARCHIVE 01 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2021-08-19. Verified source-edition publication: 2021-08-20 03:25:42 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A useful advance call on the coming heat and Henri's development, alongside an accurate recap of the previous week's temperatures; the main refinements are peak heat, cooldown timing and Henri's strength at landfall.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Around 90°F in Chicago Monday through Wednesday, August 23–25; a cooldown late in the week; and Henri reaching New England as a Category 1 hurricane.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The host's primary call was around 90°F, but he also explicitly allowed for mid-90s temperatures if the air proved drier. That conditional possibility deserves recognition, rather than treating the realized mid-90s as something the episode never considered. Henri becoming a hurricane and Henri arriving at hurricane strength are separate parts of the forecast.

O'Hare reached 87°F on August 23, 95°F on August 24, and 94°F on August 25, compared with the recording's upper-80s to low-90s expectation.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json)

The predicted late-week return to upper-70s highs did not happen at O'Hare: August 26–28 reached 90°F, 91°F, and 92°F.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json)

The recording's retrospective Sunday-through-Thursday highs of 80, 80, 84, 86, and 88°F do match O'Hare's August 15–19 observations.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json)

Henri became a Category 1 hurricane on August 21, but weakened to a tropical storm before its August 22 Rhode Island landfalls, with maximum sustained winds of 55 knots (about 65 mph).
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This station check does not verify neighborhood dew points, heat index, wet-bulb estimates, or St. Louis predictions; hurricane category describes the cyclone's maximum winds, not every landfall location.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Opening and last week's O'Hare temperatures
02:06 Humidity, dew points and the weekend
03:10 Cold front and next week's heat
05:20 Heat index and wet-bulb questions
07:26 Cooldown...]]>978false11fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-02-hurricane-ian-the-track-that-changed-2022-09-24--75861353 (00:00:58) Ian's intensification forecast
(00:01:51) Cape Coral and Tampa: track-dependent wind outlook
(00:02:31) Anna Maria Island and New Orleans

POPULAR ARCHIVE 02 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2022-09-24. Verified source-edition publication: 2022-09-25 03:50:00 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast recognized Ian's major-hurricane potential several days ahead; its important local correction is that the reassurance for Cape Coral did not hold as the track evolved.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Ian to become a hurricane by Monday, then a major hurricane in the eastern Gulf; Cape Coral's sustained winds not to exceed about 40 mph; and a much stronger wind threat near Anna Maria Island early Thursday.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
This was an early outlook on Saturday night, not a final landfall forecast. The host compared competing model tracks and was right to flag substantial intensification. The later track change is crucial context, although it does not make the Cape Coral reassurance reliable in hindsight; that statement should have remained more conditional.

Ian became a hurricane at 0600 UTC September 26, matching the forecast's Monday milestone.
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

Ian reached Category 5 intensity offshore on September 28 and made landfall on Cayo Costa at 1905 UTC that day as a Category 4 hurricane with 130-knot maximum sustained winds (about 150 mph).
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

The NHC documents 6–9 feet of inundation above ground along communities at the mouth of the Caloosahatchee River, including Cape Coral, which was not spared a major hurricane disaster.
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

The report attributes Tampa Bay's much lower surge impact to Ian's southward track shift, illustrating why early track-dependent local reassurance was unsafe.
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The NHC report does not provide a Cape Coral-specific sustained-wind measurement or an Anna Maria-specific wind verification, so no exact local wind error is calculated; storm maximum wind is not substituted for a Cape Coral station observation.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Noru and the tropical-weather overview
00:58 Ian's intensification forecast
01:51 Cape Coral and Tampa: track-dependent wind outlook
02:31 Anna Maria Island and New Orleans

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 59338125. Original source edition: Hurricane Ian From September 2022, It's popularity remains a mystery.
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861353Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:05:00 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 02 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:00:58) Ian's intensification forecast
(00:01:51) Cape Coral and Tampa: track-dependent wind outlook
(00:02:31) Anna Maria Island and New Orleans

POPULAR ARCHIVE 02 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2022-09-24. Verified source-edition publication: 2022-09-25 03:50:00 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast recognized Ian's major-hurricane potential several days ahead; its important local correction is that the reassurance for Cape Coral did not hold as the track evolved.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Ian to become a hurricane by Monday, then a major hurricane in the eastern Gulf; Cape Coral's sustained winds not to exceed about 40 mph; and a much stronger wind threat near Anna Maria Island early Thursday.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
This was an early outlook on Saturday night, not a final landfall forecast. The host compared competing model tracks and was right to flag substantial intensification. The later track change is crucial context, although it does not make the Cape Coral reassurance reliable in hindsight; that statement should have remained more conditional.

Ian became a hurricane at 0600 UTC September 26, matching the forecast's Monday milestone.
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

Ian reached Category 5 intensity offshore on September 28 and made landfall on Cayo Costa at 1905 UTC that day as a Category 4 hurricane with 130-knot maximum sustained winds (about 150 mph).
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

The NHC documents 6–9 feet of inundation above ground along communities at the mouth of the Caloosahatchee River, including Cape Coral, which was not spared a major hurricane disaster.
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

The report attributes Tampa Bay's much lower surge impact to Ian's southward track shift, illustrating why early track-dependent local reassurance was unsafe.
(National Hurricane Center post-storm report: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The NHC report does not provide a Cape Coral-specific sustained-wind measurement or an Anna Maria-specific wind verification, so no exact local wind error is calculated; storm maximum wind is not substituted for a Cape Coral station observation.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Noru and the tropical-weather overview
00:58 Ian's intensification forecast
01:51 Cape Coral and Tampa: track-dependent wind outlook
02:31 Anna Maria Island and New Orleans

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 59338125. Original source edition: Hurricane Ian From September 2022, It's popularity remains a mystery.
257false12fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-03-two-northeast-snowstorms-how-much-fell-2023-02-26--75861361 (00:01:56) The snow drought and Baltimore's chances
(00:02:52) Comparing GFS, European and ICON guidance
(00:04:07) Johnstown, New York and the Canadian high
(00:07:52) Confidence in the next Northeast storm
(00:08:22) Midwest impacts
(00:09:52) National Weather Service New York discussion

POPULAR ARCHIVE 03 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-02-26. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-02-27 19:20:14 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast correctly anticipated two Northeast snow opportunities and identified the Canadian high and storm track as the key uncertainties; coastal city snow amounts were ultimately lower than the snowier scenarios discussed.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
February 27–28 snow near Albany and Boston, followed by a March 3–4 storm with possible substantial Northeast snow and roughly 1.3 inches in Baltimore in model guidance.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The audio distinguishes uplands from downslope locations and discusses several models rather than guaranteeing a single outcome. Albany Airport's first-storm total was below the emphasized 5–8-inch bullseye, but within the separately mentioned 3–6-inch lower range. Airport observations should not erase successful recognition of the broader inland snow threat.

Albany Airport recorded 2.5 inches on February 27 and 1.9 on February 28, totaling 4.4 inches, below the 5–8-inch range discussed for the area.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00014739,USW00093721,USW00094728&startDate=2023-02-27&endDate=2023-03-05&dataTypes=SNOW,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Boston Logan recorded 0.8 inch on February 28, below the 2–5-inch city-area expectation, while Central Park received 1.8 inches across February 27–28.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00014739,USW00093721,USW00094728&startDate=2023-02-27&endDate=2023-03-05&dataTypes=SNOW,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

For March 3–4, Albany Airport totaled 7.8 inches, Boston Logan 0.4 inch, and Central Park and Baltimore-Washington Airport 0.0 inch each, so the later foot-plus coastal scenario and Baltimore's model snow did not verify at those stations.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00014739,USW00093721,USW00094728&startDate=2023-02-27&endDate=2023-03-05&dataTypes=SNOW,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Airport and Central Park observations do not represent every inland hill or suburb; the audio describes model possibilities as well as forecasts, and those are not treated as equally confident promises.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Two Northeast storms and Albany/Boston snow
01:56 The snow drought and Baltimore's chances
02:52 Comparing GFS, European and ICON guidance
04:07 Johnstown, New York and the Canadian high
07:52 Confidence in the next Northeast storm
08:22 Midwest impacts
09:52 National Weather Service New York discussion

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 52869021. Original source edition: With Sound Effects, February 26th 2023 Podcast (most popular)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861361Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:05:25 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 03 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:56) The snow drought and Baltimore's chances
(00:02:52) Comparing GFS, European and ICON guidance
(00:04:07) Johnstown, New York and the Canadian high
(00:07:52) Confidence in the next Northeast storm
(00:08:22) Midwest impacts
(00:09:52) National Weather Service New York discussion

POPULAR ARCHIVE 03 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-02-26. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-02-27 19:20:14 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast correctly anticipated two Northeast snow opportunities and identified the Canadian high and storm track as the key uncertainties; coastal city snow amounts were ultimately lower than the snowier scenarios discussed.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
February 27–28 snow near Albany and Boston, followed by a March 3–4 storm with possible substantial Northeast snow and roughly 1.3 inches in Baltimore in model guidance.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The audio distinguishes uplands from downslope locations and discusses several models rather than guaranteeing a single outcome. Albany Airport's first-storm total was below the emphasized 5–8-inch bullseye, but within the separately mentioned 3–6-inch lower range. Airport observations should not erase successful recognition of the broader inland snow threat.

Albany Airport recorded 2.5 inches on February 27 and 1.9 on February 28, totaling 4.4 inches, below the 5–8-inch range discussed for the area.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00014739,USW00093721,USW00094728&startDate=2023-02-27&endDate=2023-03-05&dataTypes=SNOW,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Boston Logan recorded 0.8 inch on February 28, below the 2–5-inch city-area expectation, while Central Park received 1.8 inches across February 27–28.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00014739,USW00093721,USW00094728&startDate=2023-02-27&endDate=2023-03-05&dataTypes=SNOW,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

For March 3–4, Albany Airport totaled 7.8 inches, Boston Logan 0.4 inch, and Central Park and Baltimore-Washington Airport 0.0 inch each, so the later foot-plus coastal scenario and Baltimore's model snow did not verify at those stations.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00014739,USW00093721,USW00094728&startDate=2023-02-27&endDate=2023-03-05&dataTypes=SNOW,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Airport and Central Park observations do not represent every inland hill or suburb; the audio describes model possibilities as well as forecasts, and those are not treated as equally confident promises.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Two Northeast storms and Albany/Boston snow
01:56 The snow drought and Baltimore's chances
02:52 Comparing GFS, European and ICON guidance
04:07 Johnstown, New York and the Canadian high
07:52 Confidence in...]]>740false13fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-04-may-snow-in-the-upper-midwest-2023-05-01--75861364 (00:03:58) Upper Midwest snow
(00:04:37) Phoenix and western heat
(00:09:16) Warmth moving toward the Plains
(00:12:22) Chicago and Lake Michigan
(00:17:31) National Weather Service snow-season reports
(00:24:05) Rainfall reports
(00:26:41) New York and Chicago forecasts

POPULAR ARCHIVE 04 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-05-01. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-05-01 18:01:44 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode's central picture of remarkable late-season snow alongside Southwest heat is supported, including Phoenix's triple-digit report; this review does not grade each later warm-up number.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A major late-season Upper Midwest snow event, followed by a warmer pattern; the recording also reports Phoenix's first 100-degree day and includes National Weather Service segments.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The storm was already in progress when this episode was made, and it mixes ongoing reporting, future expectations and NWS readings. Whole-storm snowfall totals support the event's importance without pretending they all fell after the recording. That distinction preserves credit for the correct weather picture without overstating the amount of advance prediction.

NWS Marquette documents a historic April 29–May 2 storm with 9–18 inches in the western Upper Peninsula and 24–48 inches in the north-central Upper Peninsula.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/mqt/Hi...

The same event brought 40–50-mph gusts, wet-snow tree damage and power outages, supporting the recording's description of a high-impact late-season storm.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/mqt/Hi...

Phoenix's official high on April 30 was 102°F, consistent with the episode's report of triple-digit heat the previous day.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/psr/ye...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The Upper Peninsula figures are whole-event totals, including snow before this recording; they do not prove that several additional feet fell after the forecast was issued, and the Plains and Chicago warm-up details are not individually scored.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 May 1 introduction and cold air aloft
03:58 Upper Midwest snow
04:37 Phoenix and western heat
09:16 Warmth moving toward the Plains
12:22 Chicago and Lake Michigan
17:31 National Weather Service snow-season reports
24:05 Rainfall reports
26:41 New York and Chicago forecasts

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 53708238. Original source edition: May 1st Weather Next 7 days (most popular)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861364Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:05:33 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 04 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:03:58) Upper Midwest snow
(00:04:37) Phoenix and western heat
(00:09:16) Warmth moving toward the Plains
(00:12:22) Chicago and Lake Michigan
(00:17:31) National Weather Service snow-season reports
(00:24:05) Rainfall reports
(00:26:41) New York and Chicago forecasts

POPULAR ARCHIVE 04 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-05-01. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-05-01 18:01:44 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode's central picture of remarkable late-season snow alongside Southwest heat is supported, including Phoenix's triple-digit report; this review does not grade each later warm-up number.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A major late-season Upper Midwest snow event, followed by a warmer pattern; the recording also reports Phoenix's first 100-degree day and includes National Weather Service segments.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The storm was already in progress when this episode was made, and it mixes ongoing reporting, future expectations and NWS readings. Whole-storm snowfall totals support the event's importance without pretending they all fell after the recording. That distinction preserves credit for the correct weather picture without overstating the amount of advance prediction.

NWS Marquette documents a historic April 29–May 2 storm with 9–18 inches in the western Upper Peninsula and 24–48 inches in the north-central Upper Peninsula.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/mqt/Hi...

The same event brought 40–50-mph gusts, wet-snow tree damage and power outages, supporting the recording's description of a high-impact late-season storm.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/mqt/Hi...

Phoenix's official high on April 30 was 102°F, consistent with the episode's report of triple-digit heat the previous day.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/psr/ye...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The Upper Peninsula figures are whole-event totals, including snow before this recording; they do not prove that several additional feet fell after the forecast was issued, and the Plains and Chicago warm-up details are not individually scored.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 May 1 introduction and cold air aloft
03:58 Upper Midwest snow
04:37 Phoenix and western heat
09:16 Warmth moving toward the Plains
12:22 Chicago and Lake Michigan
17:31 National Weather Service snow-season reports
24:05 Rainfall reports
26:41 New York and Chicago forecasts

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 53708238. Original source edition: May 1st Weather Next 7 days (most popular)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: 1960false14fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-05-a-midwest-heat-wave-before-june-2023-05-28--75861365 (00:01:42) Winnipeg and the Illinois–Iowa border
(00:02:55) St. Louis and unusual southeast winds
(00:04:27) Chicago and the missing Bermuda High
(00:07:58) Canadian advisories and the longer-range pattern
(00:09:26) Closing trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 05 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-05-28. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-05-28 05:00:00 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A particularly good call on the timing, persistence and strength of the Illinois–Iowa-border heat: the four-day 90s forecast verified and the hot spell lasted longer still.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
At least four consecutive days in the 90s near the Illinois–Iowa border, with mid-90s possible and a cooler, lake-influenced Chicago.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode emphasizes that heat would not be uniform and that Lake Michigan complicated Chicago's temperatures. Moline is an appropriate check on the clearly named Illinois–Iowa-border target, not a substitute for every city discussed. The verified heat signal is worth highlighting even though this review does not certify all the surrounding details.

Moline's official highs were 92°F on May 30, 93°F on May 31, 94°F on June 1, and 95°F on June 2, verifying the four-day stretch emphasized in the recording.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

The run was even longer: Moline reached 90°F on May 29, 96°F on June 3, and 93°F on June 4 before falling to 88°F on June 5.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Moline is the station used to test the Illinois–Iowa-border claim; Winnipeg observations, Canadian warning coverage, New Orleans humidity and Chicago lakeside neighborhoods are not independently verified in this review.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Central North America's early heat
01:42 Winnipeg and the Illinois–Iowa border
02:55 St. Louis and unusual southeast winds
04:27 Chicago and the missing Bermuda High
07:58 Canadian advisories and the longer-range pattern
09:26 Closing trailer

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 54024745. Original source edition: (2nd most popular)Week of 5-28 1st widespread extended heat of season for Central N.A. (even Canada) this week
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861365Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:05:41 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 05 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:42) Winnipeg and the Illinois–Iowa border
(00:02:55) St. Louis and unusual southeast winds
(00:04:27) Chicago and the missing Bermuda High
(00:07:58) Canadian advisories and the longer-range pattern
(00:09:26) Closing trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 05 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-05-28. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-05-28 05:00:00 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A particularly good call on the timing, persistence and strength of the Illinois–Iowa-border heat: the four-day 90s forecast verified and the hot spell lasted longer still.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
At least four consecutive days in the 90s near the Illinois–Iowa border, with mid-90s possible and a cooler, lake-influenced Chicago.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode emphasizes that heat would not be uniform and that Lake Michigan complicated Chicago's temperatures. Moline is an appropriate check on the clearly named Illinois–Iowa-border target, not a substitute for every city discussed. The verified heat signal is worth highlighting even though this review does not certify all the surrounding details.

Moline's official highs were 92°F on May 30, 93°F on May 31, 94°F on June 1, and 95°F on June 2, verifying the four-day stretch emphasized in the recording.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

The run was even longer: Moline reached 90°F on May 29, 96°F on June 3, and 93°F on June 4 before falling to 88°F on June 5.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Moline is the station used to test the Illinois–Iowa-border claim; Winnipeg observations, Canadian warning coverage, New Orleans humidity and Chicago lakeside neighborhoods are not independently verified in this review.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Central North America's early heat
01:42 Winnipeg and the Illinois–Iowa border
02:55 St. Louis and unusual southeast winds
04:27 Chicago and the missing Bermuda High
07:58 Canadian advisories and the longer-range pattern
09:26 Closing trailer

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 54024745. Original source edition: (2nd most popular)Week of 5-28 1st widespread extended heat of season for Central N.A. (even Canada) this week
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: 625false15fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-06-texas-heat-dome-and-the-ring-of-fire-2023-06-14--75861367 (00:01:32) The Texas heat dome and hot air aloft
(00:03:34) McAllen heat index and the ring of fire
(00:06:08) Why Chicago is outside the main heat
(00:07:43) Big Bend heat and wildfire smoke
(00:08:50) Gulf Coast humidity and Miami
(00:11:56) Texas coast rip currents and sign-off

POPULAR ARCHIVE 06 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-06-14. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-06-14 23:40:38 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode gave a well-supported warning of persistent, oppressive Texas heat and limited relief; the verified heat-index streak underlines the value of that broader call.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A persistent Texas heat dome, oppressive humidity, dangerous heat indices and strengthening heat into the following week; severe storms along the heat dome's edge.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The recording separates air temperature, humidity and the heat-dome pattern, rather than relying on temperature alone. Official observations support the prolonged heat concern. They do not establish every particular city reading or the technical classification of each storm complex, and those narrower items are left open rather than labeled failures.

NWS Brownsville's summer summary documents McAllen heat indices of at least 116°F on eleven consecutive days, June 13–23, and on twelve days during June.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

The same official account describes a high-pressure ridge building on June 9 and persisting across Texas through the remainder of June, matching the recording's larger-scale heat-dome concern.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

Most days from June 12–30 also had prolonged heat indices above 90°F overnight, supporting the concern about limited nighttime relief.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Heat index is not air temperature or wet-bulb temperature; this check does not certify the exact McAllen 120°F reading, the Baton Rouge model temperatures, or whether a particular storm complex met the technical derecho definition.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Southern severe-weather risk
01:32 The Texas heat dome and hot air aloft
03:34 McAllen heat index and the ring of fire
06:08 Why Chicago is outside the main heat
07:43 Big Bend heat and wildfire smoke
08:50 Gulf Coast humidity and Miami
11:56 Texas coast rip currents and sign-off

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 54413048. Original source edition: (2nd most popular) Derecho.Hot New Orleans ,Dallas, Baton Rouge, Houston and etc.
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861367Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:05:48 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 06 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:32) The Texas heat dome and hot air aloft
(00:03:34) McAllen heat index and the ring of fire
(00:06:08) Why Chicago is outside the main heat
(00:07:43) Big Bend heat and wildfire smoke
(00:08:50) Gulf Coast humidity and Miami
(00:11:56) Texas coast rip currents and sign-off

POPULAR ARCHIVE 06 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-06-14. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-06-14 23:40:38 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode gave a well-supported warning of persistent, oppressive Texas heat and limited relief; the verified heat-index streak underlines the value of that broader call.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A persistent Texas heat dome, oppressive humidity, dangerous heat indices and strengthening heat into the following week; severe storms along the heat dome's edge.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The recording separates air temperature, humidity and the heat-dome pattern, rather than relying on temperature alone. Official observations support the prolonged heat concern. They do not establish every particular city reading or the technical classification of each storm complex, and those narrower items are left open rather than labeled failures.

NWS Brownsville's summer summary documents McAllen heat indices of at least 116°F on eleven consecutive days, June 13–23, and on twelve days during June.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

The same official account describes a high-pressure ridge building on June 9 and persisting across Texas through the remainder of June, matching the recording's larger-scale heat-dome concern.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

Most days from June 12–30 also had prolonged heat indices above 90°F overnight, supporting the concern about limited nighttime relief.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Heat index is not air temperature or wet-bulb temperature; this check does not certify the exact McAllen 120°F reading, the Baton Rouge model temperatures, or whether a particular storm complex met the technical derecho definition.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Southern severe-weather risk
01:32 The Texas heat dome and hot air aloft
03:34 McAllen heat index and the ring of fire
06:08 Why Chicago is outside the main heat
07:43 Big Bend heat and wildfire smoke
08:50 Gulf Coast humidity and Miami
11:56 Texas coast rip currents and sign-off

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 54413048. Original source edition: (2nd most popular) Derecho.Hot New Orleans ,Dallas, Baton Rouge, Houston and etc.
16fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-07-arctic-heat-chicago-rain-and-phoenix-s-streak-2023-07-07--75861368 (00:01:41) Astrakhan and international heat
(00:02:32) Chicago downpours and cool St. Louis
(00:03:24) Phoenix heat and unofficial Iranian readings
(00:05:13) The Lut Desert and thermometer caveats
(00:06:28) Arizona heat dome and severe-weather risks
(00:08:04) Chicago rain and the closing trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 07 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-07-07. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-07-08 00:03:50 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A good anticipation of St. Louis's cool Saturday followed by a sharp Tuesday warm-up, with a justified focus on Phoenix's extreme heat; the localized rain discussion warrants a more cautious comparison.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Chicago rain July 7–8, a cool Saturday in St. Louis followed by heat by Tuesday, and Phoenix continuing an exceptional 110-degree stretch.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The host explicitly makes heavy Chicago rain conditional on thunderstorms developing and discusses the rain shifting south. A relatively dry O'Hare observation therefore cannot fairly be used to declare that conditional regional forecast wrong. Unofficial international thermometer readings are retained as things discussed in the audio, not silently upgraded to official records.

St. Louis Lambert reached 80°F on July 8 and 96°F on July 11, matching the forecast's cool Saturday followed by a major Tuesday warm-up.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2023-07-07&endDate=2023-07-11&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

O'Hare recorded 0.01 inch on July 7 and 0.14 inch on July 8; these point observations are not a test of the audio's conditional downpour scenario across the wider region and to its south.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2023-07-07&endDate=2023-07-11&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Phoenix ultimately reached 119°F on July 20 and July 25, confirming that the recording was discussing a genuinely extreme heat episode, though not a realized 120°F outcome.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/psr/ye...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
A low airport rainfall total does not disprove a localized downpour elsewhere; the Canadian Arctic, Astrakhan, and Iranian readings in this audio have not been validated as official station records and are not endorsed here.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Heat in Canada's Arctic
01:41 Astrakhan and international heat
02:32 Chicago downpours and cool St. Louis
03:24 Phoenix heat and unofficial Iranian readings
05:13 The Lut Desert and thermometer caveats
06:28 Arizona heat dome and severe-weather risks
08:04 Chicago rain and the closing trailer

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 56039004. Original source edition: Arctic Episode: Extreme Heat In Arctic, Phoenix, Iran and Russia 7-7-23 (popular)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861368Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:05:55 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 07 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:41) Astrakhan and international heat
(00:02:32) Chicago downpours and cool St. Louis
(00:03:24) Phoenix heat and unofficial Iranian readings
(00:05:13) The Lut Desert and thermometer caveats
(00:06:28) Arizona heat dome and severe-weather risks
(00:08:04) Chicago rain and the closing trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 07 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-07-07. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-07-08 00:03:50 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A good anticipation of St. Louis's cool Saturday followed by a sharp Tuesday warm-up, with a justified focus on Phoenix's extreme heat; the localized rain discussion warrants a more cautious comparison.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Chicago rain July 7–8, a cool Saturday in St. Louis followed by heat by Tuesday, and Phoenix continuing an exceptional 110-degree stretch.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The host explicitly makes heavy Chicago rain conditional on thunderstorms developing and discusses the rain shifting south. A relatively dry O'Hare observation therefore cannot fairly be used to declare that conditional regional forecast wrong. Unofficial international thermometer readings are retained as things discussed in the audio, not silently upgraded to official records.

St. Louis Lambert reached 80°F on July 8 and 96°F on July 11, matching the forecast's cool Saturday followed by a major Tuesday warm-up.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2023-07-07&endDate=2023-07-11&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

O'Hare recorded 0.01 inch on July 7 and 0.14 inch on July 8; these point observations are not a test of the audio's conditional downpour scenario across the wider region and to its south.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2023-07-07&endDate=2023-07-11&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Phoenix ultimately reached 119°F on July 20 and July 25, confirming that the recording was discussing a genuinely extreme heat episode, though not a realized 120°F outcome.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/psr/ye...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
A low airport rainfall total does not disprove a localized downpour elsewhere; the Canadian Arctic, Astrakhan, and Iranian readings in this audio have not been validated as official station records and are not endorsed here.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Heat in Canada's Arctic
01:41 Astrakhan and international heat
02:32 Chicago downpours and cool St. Louis
03:24 Phoenix heat and unofficial Iranian readings
05:13 The Lut Desert and thermometer caveats
06:28 Arizona heat dome and severe-weather risks
08:04 Chicago rain and the closing trailer

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank....]]>589false17fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-08-autumn-heat-and-the-sukkot-weekend-2023-09-28--75861370 (00:00:46) Hill City, Kansas and hot winds
(00:03:10) Omaha, Texas and lingering summer
(00:05:10) Holiday rain chances and overnight temperatures
(00:06:36) October cooldown outlook
(00:08:18) The Chicago weekend forecast

POPULAR ARCHIVE 08 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-09-28. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-09-28 19:27:52 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The Chicago forecast captured the warm, dry holiday weekend and the subsequent cooldown well; some days were a little hotter than the headline low-to-mid-80s range.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A warm, largely pleasant Chicago holiday weekend with low-to-mid-80s highs, then a substantial cooldown toward the latter part of the following week.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The practical forecast for people spending the holiday outdoors was the warmth and low rain risk, not a claim that every location would reach an identical number. The airport observations support that useful message. The later temperature drop also fits the change in pattern the episode anticipated.

O'Hare reached 84°F on Saturday September 30 and 87°F on Sunday October 1, with no measurable rain on either day, supporting the warm, dry weekend outlook.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

The warmth lasted into October 2–4 with highs of 86°F, 87°F, and 84°F, before highs fell to 62°F, 61°F, and 57°F on October 6–8.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This review tests the Chicago portion, not the precise Hill City 100°F forecast or Omaha and Minneapolis storm chances; the audio's wind-related apparent-temperature discussion is not treated as a verified heat-index observation.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Autumn heat and the holiday weekend
00:46 Hill City, Kansas and hot winds
03:10 Omaha, Texas and lingering summer
05:10 Holiday rain chances and overnight temperatures
06:36 October cooldown outlook
08:18 The Chicago weekend forecast

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 56982012. Original source edition: 100° Heat heads to Midwest (Most popular episode)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861370Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:06:03 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 08 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:00:46) Hill City, Kansas and hot winds
(00:03:10) Omaha, Texas and lingering summer
(00:05:10) Holiday rain chances and overnight temperatures
(00:06:36) October cooldown outlook
(00:08:18) The Chicago weekend forecast

POPULAR ARCHIVE 08 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2023-09-28. Verified source-edition publication: 2023-09-28 19:27:52 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The Chicago forecast captured the warm, dry holiday weekend and the subsequent cooldown well; some days were a little hotter than the headline low-to-mid-80s range.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A warm, largely pleasant Chicago holiday weekend with low-to-mid-80s highs, then a substantial cooldown toward the latter part of the following week.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The practical forecast for people spending the holiday outdoors was the warmth and low rain risk, not a claim that every location would reach an identical number. The airport observations support that useful message. The later temperature drop also fits the change in pattern the episode anticipated.

O'Hare reached 84°F on Saturday September 30 and 87°F on Sunday October 1, with no measurable rain on either day, supporting the warm, dry weekend outlook.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

The warmth lasted into October 2–4 with highs of 86°F, 87°F, and 84°F, before highs fell to 62°F, 61°F, and 57°F on October 6–8.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This review tests the Chicago portion, not the precise Hill City 100°F forecast or Omaha and Minneapolis storm chances; the audio's wind-related apparent-temperature discussion is not treated as a verified heat-index observation.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Autumn heat and the holiday weekend
00:46 Hill City, Kansas and hot winds
03:10 Omaha, Texas and lingering summer
05:10 Holiday rain chances and overnight temperatures
06:36 October cooldown outlook
08:18 The Chicago weekend forecast

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 56982012. Original source edition: 100° Heat heads to Midwest (Most popular episode)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>554false18fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-09-chicago-s-double-barrel-winter-storm-2024-01-12--75861373 (00:01:54) Reading the NWS forecast uncertainty
(00:03:10) Rain–snow line and warning downgrades
(00:04:26) The double-barrel low-pressure system
(00:05:16) Rapid strengthening and storm-track uncertainty
(00:05:55) Post-storm winds and blizzard risk

POPULAR ARCHIVE 09 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2024-01-12. Verified source-edition publication: 2024-01-12 19:20:08 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode identified a consequential Chicago winter storm and the difficult rain–snow boundary, while also anticipating subsequent snow in Memphis and Baltimore; local snow totals varied substantially.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A deep Midwest winter storm, heavy snow and strong winds, while the Chicago rain–snow line creates substantial local uncertainty.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The recording is valuable in showing an evolving same-day forecast and discussing uncertainty in the NWS guidance. A metro-wide snow headline should not be evaluated as though it promised the same depth at the lakefront and inland. The later southern and Mid-Atlantic snow outlook deserves recognition alongside the Chicago forecast.

NWS Chicago's event report lists 6.7 inches at O'Hare and much larger totals inland, including 13.6 inches near Bull Valley.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The same report lists 3.5 inches near Evanston and 3.0 inches in Chicago–West Ridge, demonstrating why a metro-wide description cannot be read as one snowfall total everywhere.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

Baltimore-Washington Airport recorded 4.9 inches across January 15–16, while Memphis Airport recorded 3.4 inches across January 14–15, supporting the recording's outlook for subsequent southern and Mid-Atlantic snow.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013893&startDate=2024-01-14&endDate=2024-01-17&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This is an evolving same-day forecast, not a single final snowfall prediction; the review does not validate an exact pressure record, area-wide blizzard criteria, or the audio's suggestion of a lunar cause.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 The January 12 winter-storm setup
01:54 Reading the NWS forecast uncertainty
03:10 Rain–snow line and warning downgrades
04:26 The double-barrel low-pressure system
05:16 Rapid strengthening and storm-track uncertainty
05:55 Post-storm winds and blizzard risk

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 58281451. Original source edition: (2024's most popular)1/12/24: Friday Update with entertaining Sound effects
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861373Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:06:09 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 09 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:54) Reading the NWS forecast uncertainty
(00:03:10) Rain–snow line and warning downgrades
(00:04:26) The double-barrel low-pressure system
(00:05:16) Rapid strengthening and storm-track uncertainty
(00:05:55) Post-storm winds and blizzard risk

POPULAR ARCHIVE 09 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2024-01-12. Verified source-edition publication: 2024-01-12 19:20:08 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode identified a consequential Chicago winter storm and the difficult rain–snow boundary, while also anticipating subsequent snow in Memphis and Baltimore; local snow totals varied substantially.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A deep Midwest winter storm, heavy snow and strong winds, while the Chicago rain–snow line creates substantial local uncertainty.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The recording is valuable in showing an evolving same-day forecast and discussing uncertainty in the NWS guidance. A metro-wide snow headline should not be evaluated as though it promised the same depth at the lakefront and inland. The later southern and Mid-Atlantic snow outlook deserves recognition alongside the Chicago forecast.

NWS Chicago's event report lists 6.7 inches at O'Hare and much larger totals inland, including 13.6 inches near Bull Valley.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The same report lists 3.5 inches near Evanston and 3.0 inches in Chicago–West Ridge, demonstrating why a metro-wide description cannot be read as one snowfall total everywhere.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

Baltimore-Washington Airport recorded 4.9 inches across January 15–16, while Memphis Airport recorded 3.4 inches across January 14–15, supporting the recording's outlook for subsequent southern and Mid-Atlantic snow.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013893&startDate=2024-01-14&endDate=2024-01-17&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This is an evolving same-day forecast, not a single final snowfall prediction; the review does not validate an exact pressure record, area-wide blizzard criteria, or the audio's suggestion of a lunar cause.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 The January 12 winter-storm setup
01:54 Reading the NWS forecast uncertainty
03:10 Rain–snow line and warning downgrades
04:26 The double-barrel low-pressure system
05:16 Rapid strengthening and storm-track uncertainty
05:55 Post-storm winds and blizzard risk

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 58281451. Original source edition: (2024's most popular)1/12/24: Friday Update with entertaining Sound effects
19fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-10-april-snow-chicago-slush-wisconsin-impact-2024-04-02--75861374 (00:01:26) The low's unusual Great Lakes track
(00:02:28) Chicago's rain-to-slushy-snow transition
(00:03:58) Wisconsin accumulation forecast
(00:04:26) Snow ratios, melting and model totals
(00:05:01) Northeast redevelopment
(00:06:21) The eventual Chicago warm-up

POPULAR ARCHIVE 10 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2024-04-02. Verified source-edition publication: 2024-04-02 23:16:17 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast recognized Wisconsin's substantial wet-snow and wind impacts and correctly cautioned about melting; the 8–14-inch Green Bay-area range was higher than the official city-area measurement.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Little Chicago accumulation, but substantial Wisconsin snow, including roughly 8–14 inches around Green Bay and north, with strong winds and melting limiting model snow totals.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The audio stresses near-freezing conditions, wet snow and model overestimation, which are directly relevant to the outcome. The local difference should be described alongside that useful caution, not as a failure to recognize the storm. A station observation is also narrower than the full area covered by a regional forecast.

NWS Green Bay lists a 6.5-inch official storm total at Ashwaubenon, with 7.8 inches west-northwest of Appleton and 8.0 inches at Greenville.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/grb/Th...

The event produced a 56-mph gust at Green Bay Airport, wet-snow tree and power-line damage, and more than 100,000 people without power across Wisconsin at the height of the storm.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/grb/Th...

NWS describes above-freezing air and roads, lakeside rain and substantial sensitivity to just one or two degrees, supporting the warning against taking raw model snowfall literally.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/grb/Th...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The record does not justify a universal rule of halving a model's snow output; Chicago neighborhood accumulation and the subsequent Northeast storm are outside this station-and-event check.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 April 2 storm introduction
01:26 The low's unusual Great Lakes track
02:28 Chicago's rain-to-slushy-snow transition
03:58 Wisconsin accumulation forecast
04:26 Snow ratios, melting and model totals
05:01 Northeast redevelopment
06:21 The eventual Chicago warm-up

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 59269543. Original source edition: Winter Storm Midwest 4/2/24 (April 2024 Most Popular)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861374Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:06:22 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 10 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:26) The low's unusual Great Lakes track
(00:02:28) Chicago's rain-to-slushy-snow transition
(00:03:58) Wisconsin accumulation forecast
(00:04:26) Snow ratios, melting and model totals
(00:05:01) Northeast redevelopment
(00:06:21) The eventual Chicago warm-up

POPULAR ARCHIVE 10 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2024-04-02. Verified source-edition publication: 2024-04-02 23:16:17 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast recognized Wisconsin's substantial wet-snow and wind impacts and correctly cautioned about melting; the 8–14-inch Green Bay-area range was higher than the official city-area measurement.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Little Chicago accumulation, but substantial Wisconsin snow, including roughly 8–14 inches around Green Bay and north, with strong winds and melting limiting model snow totals.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The audio stresses near-freezing conditions, wet snow and model overestimation, which are directly relevant to the outcome. The local difference should be described alongside that useful caution, not as a failure to recognize the storm. A station observation is also narrower than the full area covered by a regional forecast.

NWS Green Bay lists a 6.5-inch official storm total at Ashwaubenon, with 7.8 inches west-northwest of Appleton and 8.0 inches at Greenville.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/grb/Th...

The event produced a 56-mph gust at Green Bay Airport, wet-snow tree and power-line damage, and more than 100,000 people without power across Wisconsin at the height of the storm.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/grb/Th...

NWS describes above-freezing air and roads, lakeside rain and substantial sensitivity to just one or two degrees, supporting the warning against taking raw model snowfall literally.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/grb/Th...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The record does not justify a universal rule of halving a model's snow output; Chicago neighborhood accumulation and the subsequent Northeast storm are outside this station-and-event check.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 April 2 storm introduction
01:26 The low's unusual Great Lakes track
02:28 Chicago's rain-to-slushy-snow transition
03:58 Wisconsin accumulation forecast
04:26 Snow ratios, melting and model totals
05:01 Northeast redevelopment
06:21 The eventual Chicago warm-up

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 59269543. Original source edition: Winter Storm Midwest 4/2/24 (April 2024 Most Popular)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: 495false110fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-11-india-s-heat-and-the-wet-bulb-question-2024-04-28--75861376 (00:02:27) How Americans perceive New Delhi's climate
(00:04:30) India's humidity and heat exposure
(00:05:23) The wet-bulb-temperature claim
(00:07:21) Seasonal heat, humidity and El Niño
(00:09:18) Tel Aviv aside and sign-off
(00:10:08) Archive show trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 11 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2024-04-28. Verified source-edition publication: 2024-04-28 22:27:24 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode's warning of severe Indian heat was well founded; the specific wet-bulb projection needs to remain unverified rather than being inferred from high air temperatures.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
An intensifying Indian heat wave and a possible 35°C (95°F) wet-bulb temperature during the coming week.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode's strongest message was that humidity can make extreme heat more dangerous, not simply that a single thermometer value would be reached everywhere. The official record supports the severity of the heat wave. It does not supply the paired, timed observations needed to validate the more specific wet-bulb claim.

IMD's May 2 weekly release documents heat-wave to severe heat-wave conditions in Odisha and West Bengal throughout April 25–May 1, with other affected regions including Bihar and Jharkhand.
(India Meteorological Department weekly report: https://internal.imd.gov.in/pr...

Kalaikunda in West Bengal reached 47.2°C on April 30, about 117°F, supporting the recording's warning about intense air temperatures.
(India Meteorological Department weekly report: https://internal.imd.gov.in/pr...

The IMD release does not report a measured 35°C wet-bulb temperature, so its 47.2°C air-temperature observation cannot verify that different metric.
(India Meteorological Department weekly report: https://internal.imd.gov.in/pr...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
No individual city-and-time wet-bulb observation is supplied in the recording; New Delhi should not be assumed to share Kalaikunda's conditions, and the 35°C value is not a universal safety threshold below which heat is harmless.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 April 28 introduction and India's heat
02:27 How Americans perceive New Delhi's climate
04:30 India's humidity and heat exposure
05:23 The wet-bulb-temperature claim
07:21 Seasonal heat, humidity and El Niño
09:18 Tel Aviv aside and sign-off
10:08 Archive show trailer

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 59689020. Original source edition: Extreme Heat In India With WBT of 35C°/95°F to finish April (Most popular episode on YouTube)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861376Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:06:35 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 11 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:02:27) How Americans perceive New Delhi's climate
(00:04:30) India's humidity and heat exposure
(00:05:23) The wet-bulb-temperature claim
(00:07:21) Seasonal heat, humidity and El Niño
(00:09:18) Tel Aviv aside and sign-off
(00:10:08) Archive show trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 11 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2024-04-28. Verified source-edition publication: 2024-04-28 22:27:24 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode's warning of severe Indian heat was well founded; the specific wet-bulb projection needs to remain unverified rather than being inferred from high air temperatures.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
An intensifying Indian heat wave and a possible 35°C (95°F) wet-bulb temperature during the coming week.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode's strongest message was that humidity can make extreme heat more dangerous, not simply that a single thermometer value would be reached everywhere. The official record supports the severity of the heat wave. It does not supply the paired, timed observations needed to validate the more specific wet-bulb claim.

IMD's May 2 weekly release documents heat-wave to severe heat-wave conditions in Odisha and West Bengal throughout April 25–May 1, with other affected regions including Bihar and Jharkhand.
(India Meteorological Department weekly report: https://internal.imd.gov.in/pr...

Kalaikunda in West Bengal reached 47.2°C on April 30, about 117°F, supporting the recording's warning about intense air temperatures.
(India Meteorological Department weekly report: https://internal.imd.gov.in/pr...

The IMD release does not report a measured 35°C wet-bulb temperature, so its 47.2°C air-temperature observation cannot verify that different metric.
(India Meteorological Department weekly report: https://internal.imd.gov.in/pr...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
No individual city-and-time wet-bulb observation is supplied in the recording; New Delhi should not be assumed to share Kalaikunda's conditions, and the 35°C value is not a universal safety threshold below which heat is harmless.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 April 28 introduction and India's heat
02:27 How Americans perceive New Delhi's climate
04:30 India's humidity and heat exposure
05:23 The wet-bulb-temperature claim
07:21 Seasonal heat, humidity and El Niño
09:18 Tel Aviv aside and sign-off
10:08 Archive show trailer

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 59689020. Original source edition: Extreme Heat In India With WBT of 35C°/95°F to finish April (Most popular episode on YouTube)
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: 667false111fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-12-midwest-wind-outbreak-storms-after-dark-2025-03-14--75861379 (00:00:49) Backside snow and the widespread wind threat
(00:01:23) Severe risks, gusts and tornado potential
(00:02:25) Chicago's overnight storm window
(00:03:00) Record warmth and the next system
(00:04:02) Zapata heat and the low-pressure track
(00:05:55) Final Chicago timing and safety reminders

POPULAR ARCHIVE 12 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-03-14. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-03-14 15:37:31 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A strong call on the regional wind hazard, overnight storm passage and tornado potential, including the distinction between thunderstorm winds and the following non-thunderstorm wind event.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A late-night line of severe storms March 14–15, damaging wind and brief tornado risks in northern Illinois, followed by another period of strong non-thunderstorm winds.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Peak gusts were presented as threats, not as a promise that every weather station would reach that number. The observed corridors of severe wind damage support the warning. The separate lower non-thunderstorm gusts refine the comparison without negating the useful broader alert.

NWS confirms a line of thunderstorms crossed northern Illinois and northwest Indiana late March 14 into early March 15, producing widespread damaging winds and four tornadoes in the Chicago forecast area.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

Local ground surveys and observations support corridors of 70–80-mph straight-line wind damage near Ottawa and DeKalb, consistent with the severity flagged in the recording.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The separate non-thunderstorm wind periods on March 14 and 15 generally produced peak gusts of 40–50 mph, rather than 60 mph at most locations.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
A severe-storm risk is not a promise of a tornado at each address; the exact Chicago arrival minute, pressure record, Texas high and next-week system are not scored in this review.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 A powerful March 14 storm
00:49 Backside snow and the widespread wind threat
01:23 Severe risks, gusts and tornado potential
02:25 Chicago's overnight storm window
03:00 Record warmth and the next system
04:02 Zapata heat and the low-pressure track
05:55 Final Chicago timing and safety reminders

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 64883382. Original source edition: 3/14:( Popular) Severe Weather in Midwest, Wind Storm Shabbos Includes Chicago
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861379Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:06:42 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 12 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:00:49) Backside snow and the widespread wind threat
(00:01:23) Severe risks, gusts and tornado potential
(00:02:25) Chicago's overnight storm window
(00:03:00) Record warmth and the next system
(00:04:02) Zapata heat and the low-pressure track
(00:05:55) Final Chicago timing and safety reminders

POPULAR ARCHIVE 12 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-03-14. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-03-14 15:37:31 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A strong call on the regional wind hazard, overnight storm passage and tornado potential, including the distinction between thunderstorm winds and the following non-thunderstorm wind event.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A late-night line of severe storms March 14–15, damaging wind and brief tornado risks in northern Illinois, followed by another period of strong non-thunderstorm winds.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Peak gusts were presented as threats, not as a promise that every weather station would reach that number. The observed corridors of severe wind damage support the warning. The separate lower non-thunderstorm gusts refine the comparison without negating the useful broader alert.

NWS confirms a line of thunderstorms crossed northern Illinois and northwest Indiana late March 14 into early March 15, producing widespread damaging winds and four tornadoes in the Chicago forecast area.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

Local ground surveys and observations support corridors of 70–80-mph straight-line wind damage near Ottawa and DeKalb, consistent with the severity flagged in the recording.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The separate non-thunderstorm wind periods on March 14 and 15 generally produced peak gusts of 40–50 mph, rather than 60 mph at most locations.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
A severe-storm risk is not a promise of a tornado at each address; the exact Chicago arrival minute, pressure record, Texas high and next-week system are not scored in this review.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 A powerful March 14 storm
00:49 Backside snow and the widespread wind threat
01:23 Severe risks, gusts and tornado potential
02:25 Chicago's overnight storm window
03:00 Record warmth and the next system
04:02 Zapata heat and the low-pressure track
05:55 Final Chicago timing and safety reminders

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 64883382. Original source edition: 3/14:( Popular) Severe Weather in Midwest, Wind Storm Shabbos Includes Chicago
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: 490false112fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-13-early-heat-chicago-storms-st-louis-waits-2025-05-12--75861383 (00:01:33) St. Louis downslope warming
(00:02:55) Texas heat and the Gulf ridge
(00:04:26) Thursday severe risk: Chicago versus St. Louis
(00:06:13) Storm timing and Midwest temperatures
(00:08:01) Closing remarks and music
(00:10:05) Music credits and temperature check

POPULAR ARCHIVE 13 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-05-12. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-05-12 21:15:00 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast usefully distinguished Chicago's Thursday storm threat from St. Louis's later opportunity; the heat arrived as expected regionally, with city-level temperature differences.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Northern Plains and Texas heat; a hot Thursday May 15 in the Midwest, with Chicago storms more likely than St. Louis storms, followed by a Friday storm chance for St. Louis.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The recording does not simply assume that a warm, unstable Midwest pattern produces storms everywhere at once. Its attention to the cap and the different city timing was useful. The small St. Louis temperature overforecast and stronger-than-expected O'Hare heat should be read alongside that successful storm sequence.

O'Hare reached 94°F on May 15 while St. Louis Lambert reached 88°F, so a low-90s St. Louis forecast was too warm and Chicago's upper-80s emphasis was too cool at O'Hare.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2025-05-15&endDate=2025-05-16&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

NWS documents large hail and widespread wind damage across the Chicago region on May 15, supporting the Thursday severe-storm warning.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

Lambert recorded no rain on May 15 and 0.64 inch on May 16, consistent with the recording's shift of the local storm concern to Friday.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2025-05-15&endDate=2025-05-16&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

The St. Louis EF3 tornado touched down near Clayton around 2:41 p.m. May 16, a severe outcome that should not be confused with the preceding day's lower local storm chance.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lsx/05...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
A dry airport does not establish that every point in a metro area stayed dry; the Texas and Dakotas extremes, precise heat-dome heights and lakefront temperatures are not independently verified here.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Northern Plains heat before Texas
01:33 St. Louis downslope warming
02:55 Texas heat and the Gulf ridge
04:26 Thursday severe risk: Chicago versus St. Louis
06:13 Storm timing and Midwest temperatures
08:01 Closing remarks and music
10:05 Music credits and temperature check

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 66061009. Original source edition: (popular)5/12/25: Northern Plains Heatwave, then Texas, then Severe weather outbreak
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861383Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:06:49 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 13 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:33) St. Louis downslope warming
(00:02:55) Texas heat and the Gulf ridge
(00:04:26) Thursday severe risk: Chicago versus St. Louis
(00:06:13) Storm timing and Midwest temperatures
(00:08:01) Closing remarks and music
(00:10:05) Music credits and temperature check

POPULAR ARCHIVE 13 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-05-12. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-05-12 21:15:00 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The forecast usefully distinguished Chicago's Thursday storm threat from St. Louis's later opportunity; the heat arrived as expected regionally, with city-level temperature differences.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Northern Plains and Texas heat; a hot Thursday May 15 in the Midwest, with Chicago storms more likely than St. Louis storms, followed by a Friday storm chance for St. Louis.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The recording does not simply assume that a warm, unstable Midwest pattern produces storms everywhere at once. Its attention to the cap and the different city timing was useful. The small St. Louis temperature overforecast and stronger-than-expected O'Hare heat should be read alongside that successful storm sequence.

O'Hare reached 94°F on May 15 while St. Louis Lambert reached 88°F, so a low-90s St. Louis forecast was too warm and Chicago's upper-80s emphasis was too cool at O'Hare.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2025-05-15&endDate=2025-05-16&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

NWS documents large hail and widespread wind damage across the Chicago region on May 15, supporting the Thursday severe-storm warning.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

Lambert recorded no rain on May 15 and 0.64 inch on May 16, consistent with the recording's shift of the local storm concern to Friday.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2025-05-15&endDate=2025-05-16&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

The St. Louis EF3 tornado touched down near Clayton around 2:41 p.m. May 16, a severe outcome that should not be confused with the preceding day's lower local storm chance.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lsx/05...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
A dry airport does not establish that every point in a metro area stayed dry; the Texas and Dakotas extremes, precise heat-dome heights and lakefront temperatures are not independently verified here.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Northern Plains heat before Texas
01:33 St. Louis downslope warming
02:55 Texas heat and the Gulf ridge
04:26 Thursday severe risk: Chicago versus St. Louis
06:13 Storm timing and Midwest temperatures
08:01 Closing remarks and music
10:05 Music credits and temperature check

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to...]]>673false113fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-14-two-severe-weather-days-two-different-outcomes-2025-05-14--75861384 (00:00:39) Israel's coming heat
(00:01:39) Texas heat dome and severe-weather boundary
(00:04:21) Midwest heat, moisture and the cap
(00:05:21) Chicago hail and wind threat
(00:06:26) Friday's St. Louis and Ohio Valley risk
(00:07:48) First 90-degree potential
(00:10:20) Music credits and sign-off

POPULAR ARCHIVE 14 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-05-14. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-05-14 17:49:03 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode identified the important two-day severe-weather sequence and the approaching heat, with Chicago's Thursday wind-and-hail concern and St. Louis's Friday threat both supported by the outcome.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Chicago-area damaging wind and hail Thursday May 15, a greater St. Louis storm threat Friday May 16, and temperatures near 90°F in the Midwest.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The host explicitly discusses whether the cap could prevent storms and acknowledges that parts of Chicago could miss them. That is an appropriate expression of local uncertainty, not a guarantee of severe weather at each address. Risk-category context is clarified below without changing the fact that the hazard being flagged was real.

NWS May Storm Data documents Chicago-region severe hail and wind damage on May 15, including at least 2,200 trees blown down in Chicago.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

The St. Louis EF3 tornado occurred on May 16, supporting the warning that St. Louis's more significant storm opportunity was Friday, not Thursday.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lsx/05...

O'Hare's May 15 high was 94°F, above a simple near-90 expectation, while Lambert reached 88°F.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2025-05-15&endDate=2025-05-16&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

For clarity, SPC's Enhanced category is level 3 of 5, below Moderate and High; the category describes risk, not a certainty that every location will experience a severe storm.
(NOAA Storm Prediction Center risk-category guidance: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/publi...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The Israeli weekend temperatures and long-range Asian heat projections are not verified in this review; this regional event check does not mean every Chicago neighborhood experienced severe weather.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 May 14 update and multiple storm opportunities
00:39 Israel's coming heat
01:39 Texas heat dome and severe-weather boundary
04:21 Midwest heat, moisture and the cap
05:21 Chicago hail and wind threat
06:26 Friday's St. Louis and Ohio Valley risk
07:48 First 90-degree potential
10:20 Music credits and sign-off

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 66088233. Original source edition: 5/14/25: (popular)Severe Weather Update, Heatwave for U.S., Israel, India Pakistan& East of Caspian Sea
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861384Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:08:40 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 14 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:00:39) Israel's coming heat
(00:01:39) Texas heat dome and severe-weather boundary
(00:04:21) Midwest heat, moisture and the cap
(00:05:21) Chicago hail and wind threat
(00:06:26) Friday's St. Louis and Ohio Valley risk
(00:07:48) First 90-degree potential
(00:10:20) Music credits and sign-off

POPULAR ARCHIVE 14 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-05-14. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-05-14 17:49:03 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode identified the important two-day severe-weather sequence and the approaching heat, with Chicago's Thursday wind-and-hail concern and St. Louis's Friday threat both supported by the outcome.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Chicago-area damaging wind and hail Thursday May 15, a greater St. Louis storm threat Friday May 16, and temperatures near 90°F in the Midwest.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The host explicitly discusses whether the cap could prevent storms and acknowledges that parts of Chicago could miss them. That is an appropriate expression of local uncertainty, not a guarantee of severe weather at each address. Risk-category context is clarified below without changing the fact that the hazard being flagged was real.

NWS May Storm Data documents Chicago-region severe hail and wind damage on May 15, including at least 2,200 trees blown down in Chicago.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

The St. Louis EF3 tornado occurred on May 16, supporting the warning that St. Louis's more significant storm opportunity was Friday, not Thursday.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lsx/05...

O'Hare's May 15 high was 94°F, above a simple near-90 expectation, while Lambert reached 88°F.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013994&startDate=2025-05-15&endDate=2025-05-16&dataTypes=TMAX,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

For clarity, SPC's Enhanced category is level 3 of 5, below Moderate and High; the category describes risk, not a certainty that every location will experience a severe storm.
(NOAA Storm Prediction Center risk-category guidance: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/publi...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The Israeli weekend temperatures and long-range Asian heat projections are not verified in this review; this regional event check does not mean every Chicago neighborhood experienced severe weather.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 May 14 update and multiple storm opportunities
00:39 Israel's coming heat
01:39 Texas heat dome and severe-weather boundary
04:21 Midwest heat, moisture and the cap
05:21 Chicago hail and wind threat
06:26 Friday's St. Louis and Ohio Valley risk
07:48 First 90-degree potential
10:20 Music credits and sign-off

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover...]]>654false114fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-15-jerusalem-s-extraordinary-heat-a-record-check-2025-08-13--75861403 (00:01:34) Jerusalem's reported peak temperature
(00:04:04) Hourly temperatures, dew points and heat index
(00:08:21) The claimed rain and overnight heat
(00:11:50) Pre-dawn warming and the next day's heat
(00:13:16) Possible explanations and heat-burst speculation
(00:16:34) Mediterranean humidity and sensor caveats
(00:19:26) Wider Israeli heat and historical context

POPULAR ARCHIVE 15 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-08-13. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-08-14 06:02:10 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode's account of extraordinary Jerusalem heat and a very hot night is supported by official observations, and its expectation of another triple-digit Thursday also held up.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Primarily a report on August 12–13 heat, humidity and a claimed brief rain observation, with temperatures in the 100s expected again Thursday.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Most of this audio is an enthusiastic close look at weather already observed, so it is assessed as reporting rather than a separate advance forecast. The host himself questions the dew-point sensor and says he does not know whether a thunderstorm occurred. Those caveats deserve to stay attached to the more unusual claims.

IMS Jerusalem Center reached 41.3°C (106.3°F) on August 12, close to the peak temperature discussed in the recording.
(Israel Meteorological Service heatwave report: https://ims.gov.il/sites/defau...

The same station recorded a minimum of 31.4°C (88.5°F) on August 13 and a maximum of 39.7°C (103.5°F) on August 14, supporting both the very hot night and another triple-digit Thursday.
(Israel Meteorological Service heatwave report: https://ims.gov.il/sites/defau...

IMS compares the sustained Jerusalem heat with an even more extreme week in August 1881, so a simple 'all-time' claim is not warranted from this review.
(Israel Meteorological Service heatwave report: https://ims.gov.il/sites/defau...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Most of this recording describes weather already observed and is reviewed as reporting, not credited as an advance forecast; the IMS summary does not verify the claimed 0.02 rain amount, hourly 75°F dew point, or a Jerusalem heat burst, and nearby stations must not be substituted for Jerusalem Center.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 August 13: rare rain and extraordinary heat
01:34 Jerusalem's reported peak temperature
04:04 Hourly temperatures, dew points and heat index
08:21 The claimed rain and overnight heat
11:50 Pre-dawn warming and the next day's heat
13:16 Possible explanations and heat-burst speculation
16:34 Mediterranean humidity and sensor caveats
19:26 Wider Israeli heat and historical context

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 67364436. Original source edition: (popular)Jerusalem heat humidity and rain- 2nd week of August 2025.
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861403Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:08:58 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 15 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:34) Jerusalem's reported peak temperature
(00:04:04) Hourly temperatures, dew points and heat index
(00:08:21) The claimed rain and overnight heat
(00:11:50) Pre-dawn warming and the next day's heat
(00:13:16) Possible explanations and heat-burst speculation
(00:16:34) Mediterranean humidity and sensor caveats
(00:19:26) Wider Israeli heat and historical context

POPULAR ARCHIVE 15 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-08-13. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-08-14 06:02:10 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode's account of extraordinary Jerusalem heat and a very hot night is supported by official observations, and its expectation of another triple-digit Thursday also held up.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Primarily a report on August 12–13 heat, humidity and a claimed brief rain observation, with temperatures in the 100s expected again Thursday.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Most of this audio is an enthusiastic close look at weather already observed, so it is assessed as reporting rather than a separate advance forecast. The host himself questions the dew-point sensor and says he does not know whether a thunderstorm occurred. Those caveats deserve to stay attached to the more unusual claims.

IMS Jerusalem Center reached 41.3°C (106.3°F) on August 12, close to the peak temperature discussed in the recording.
(Israel Meteorological Service heatwave report: https://ims.gov.il/sites/defau...

The same station recorded a minimum of 31.4°C (88.5°F) on August 13 and a maximum of 39.7°C (103.5°F) on August 14, supporting both the very hot night and another triple-digit Thursday.
(Israel Meteorological Service heatwave report: https://ims.gov.il/sites/defau...

IMS compares the sustained Jerusalem heat with an even more extreme week in August 1881, so a simple 'all-time' claim is not warranted from this review.
(Israel Meteorological Service heatwave report: https://ims.gov.il/sites/defau...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Most of this recording describes weather already observed and is reviewed as reporting, not credited as an advance forecast; the IMS summary does not verify the claimed 0.02 rain amount, hourly 75°F dew point, or a Jerusalem heat burst, and nearby stations must not be substituted for Jerusalem Center.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 August 13: rare rain and extraordinary heat
01:34 Jerusalem's reported peak temperature
04:04 Hourly temperatures, dew points and heat index
08:21 The claimed rain and overnight heat
11:50 Pre-dawn warming and the next day's heat
13:16 Possible explanations and heat-burst speculation
16:34 Mediterranean humidity and sensor caveats
19:26 Wider Israeli heat and historical context

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map...]]>1388false115fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-16-october-warmth-following-the-forecast-s-revision-2025-10-10--75861407 (00:02:41) Arizona moisture and Plains warmth
(00:05:12) The Texas ridge and Chicago 80s scenario
(00:09:22) Colder air behind the next systems
(00:18:13) The speculative Bering Sea connection
(00:20:42) Localized Chicago holiday-rain outlook
(00:26:29) Checking other forecasts and reducing confidence
(00:33:07) NWS North Dakota discussion
(00:36:18) Tulsa fire-weather and rain outlook
(00:40:10) Phoenix moisture and flood-watch discussion
(00:44:16) NWS Chicago discussion
(00:46:52) Music credits and trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 16 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-10-10. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-10-10 21:28:42 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode usefully shows the host checking competing forecasts and lowering his initial confidence; the opening Chicago 80s scenario was too warm, while the later cooling signal was sound.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Early in the recording, Chicago 80s for Monday and the following weekend; later, the host explicitly lowers confidence after checking other forecasts, including low-70s guidance for Monday.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
A fair review must include the revision around 26–31 minutes, not quote only the opening. The host notices that other forecasts do not support the European model's warmth and explicitly pulls back. That self-correction is a strength, even though the earlier high-confidence scenario did not verify.

O'Hare reached 68°F on Monday October 13, 73°F on Saturday October 18, and 59°F on Sunday October 19, so the prominent 80-degree Chicago scenario did not verify at that station.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Rain measured 0.57 inch on October 18 and 0.38 inch on October 19, not a uniformly dry, summery weekend.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

By October 23–24, O'Hare lows were 38°F and 34°F, supporting the general later-month cooling trend rather than the early warmth confidence.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The recording revises itself around 26–31 minutes, so judging only the opening would be unfair; lakefront neighborhood shower timing, the Alaska storm's exact pressure, Arizona rain amounts and the speculative three-week Bering Sea rule are not independently verified here.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Alaska storm and tropical remnants
02:41 Arizona moisture and Plains warmth
05:12 The Texas ridge and Chicago 80s scenario
09:22 Colder air behind the next systems
18:13 The speculative Bering Sea connection
20:42 Localized Chicago holiday-rain outlook
26:29 Checking other forecasts and reducing confidence
33:07 NWS North Dakota discussion
36:18 Tulsa fire-weather and rain outlook
40:10 Phoenix moisture and flood-watch discussion
44:16 NWS Chicago discussion
46:52 Music credits and trailer

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 68094965. Original source edition: (popular) Hurricane Force storm over Alaska weather for the next 10 days in portions of United States -10-11-25
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861407Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:09:20 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 16 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:02:41) Arizona moisture and Plains warmth
(00:05:12) The Texas ridge and Chicago 80s scenario
(00:09:22) Colder air behind the next systems
(00:18:13) The speculative Bering Sea connection
(00:20:42) Localized Chicago holiday-rain outlook
(00:26:29) Checking other forecasts and reducing confidence
(00:33:07) NWS North Dakota discussion
(00:36:18) Tulsa fire-weather and rain outlook
(00:40:10) Phoenix moisture and flood-watch discussion
(00:44:16) NWS Chicago discussion
(00:46:52) Music credits and trailer

POPULAR ARCHIVE 16 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-10-10. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-10-10 21:28:42 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode usefully shows the host checking competing forecasts and lowering his initial confidence; the opening Chicago 80s scenario was too warm, while the later cooling signal was sound.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Early in the recording, Chicago 80s for Monday and the following weekend; later, the host explicitly lowers confidence after checking other forecasts, including low-70s guidance for Monday.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
A fair review must include the revision around 26–31 minutes, not quote only the opening. The host notices that other forecasts do not support the European model's warmth and explicitly pulls back. That self-correction is a strength, even though the earlier high-confidence scenario did not verify.

O'Hare reached 68°F on Monday October 13, 73°F on Saturday October 18, and 59°F on Sunday October 19, so the prominent 80-degree Chicago scenario did not verify at that station.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Rain measured 0.57 inch on October 18 and 0.38 inch on October 19, not a uniformly dry, summery weekend.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

By October 23–24, O'Hare lows were 38°F and 34°F, supporting the general later-month cooling trend rather than the early warmth confidence.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,PRCP&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The recording revises itself around 26–31 minutes, so judging only the opening would be unfair; lakefront neighborhood shower timing, the Alaska storm's exact pressure, Arizona rain amounts and the speculative three-week Bering Sea rule are not independently verified here.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Alaska storm and tropical remnants
02:41 Arizona moisture and Plains warmth
05:12 The Texas ridge and Chicago 80s scenario
09:22 Colder air behind the next systems
18:13 The speculative Bering Sea connection
20:42...]]>2940false116fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-17-chicago-s-lake-effect-snow-why-the-bands-mattered-2025-11-09--75861414 (00:01:54) Cold air aloft and the Buffalo comparison
(00:04:15) NWS lake-effect setup and timing
(00:06:54) The uncertain trailing snow band
(00:08:33) Lake instability and temperature contrasts
(00:13:11) Snow rates, thunder and travel hazards
(00:18:39) Airport forecasts and second-band uncertainty
(00:23:03) Lincolnwood snowfall forecast
(00:25:28) Comparing AccuWeather and NWS scenarios

POPULAR ARCHIVE 17 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-09. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-06-25 19:00:00 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable. This source is a later reissue; the first publication of the underlying recording has not been independently established.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode correctly recognized a genuinely intense lake-effect setup, thundersnow potential and the importance of band placement; the highest Cook County snowfall scenario did not materialize.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Intense lake-effect bands, 12–18 inches in favored areas and a conditional ceiling of 2–4 feet if a band stalled, with strong emphasis on Cook County.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Much of the high-end accumulation discussion is explicitly attributed to the contemporaneous NWS outlook. The recording repeatedly explains that an uncertain trailing band and whether it stalled would determine the result. The lower local totals are a real forecast difference, but the conditional 2–4-foot ceiling was not a promise for every part of Chicago.

NWS lists 1.7 inches at O'Hare and updated storm totals of 5.7 inches in Chicago–West Ridge and 5.2 inches near Evanston, far below the Cook County-focused high-end scenario.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS attributes the local snowfall minimum across Chicago and adjacent suburbs to an unexpected separation of the two main intense bands.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The event did produce several thundersnow reports and rates above two inches per hour in the strongest bands, so the instability concern was real even though placement drove the local bust.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The 2–4-foot ceiling was explicitly conditional, not a forecast for every location; there is no Lincolnwood-specific observed total in the cited report, and the audio's 'coldest on the planet' comparison is not established by this review.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 November 9: the high-end snow scenario
01:54 Cold air aloft and the Buffalo comparison
04:15 NWS lake-effect setup and timing
06:54 The uncertain trailing snow band
08:33 Lake instability and temperature contrasts
13:11 Snow rates, thunder and travel hazards
18:39 Airport forecasts and second-band uncertainty
23:03 Lincolnwood snowfall forecast
25:28 Comparing AccuWeather and NWS scenarios

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 68487780. Original source edition: Most popular: Chicago Lake Effect Snow tonight explained more in depth 11/9/2025
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861414Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:09:38 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 17 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:54) Cold air aloft and the Buffalo comparison
(00:04:15) NWS lake-effect setup and timing
(00:06:54) The uncertain trailing snow band
(00:08:33) Lake instability and temperature contrasts
(00:13:11) Snow rates, thunder and travel hazards
(00:18:39) Airport forecasts and second-band uncertainty
(00:23:03) Lincolnwood snowfall forecast
(00:25:28) Comparing AccuWeather and NWS scenarios

POPULAR ARCHIVE 17 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-09. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-06-25 19:00:00 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable. This source is a later reissue; the first publication of the underlying recording has not been independently established.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The episode correctly recognized a genuinely intense lake-effect setup, thundersnow potential and the importance of band placement; the highest Cook County snowfall scenario did not materialize.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Intense lake-effect bands, 12–18 inches in favored areas and a conditional ceiling of 2–4 feet if a band stalled, with strong emphasis on Cook County.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Much of the high-end accumulation discussion is explicitly attributed to the contemporaneous NWS outlook. The recording repeatedly explains that an uncertain trailing band and whether it stalled would determine the result. The lower local totals are a real forecast difference, but the conditional 2–4-foot ceiling was not a promise for every part of Chicago.

NWS lists 1.7 inches at O'Hare and updated storm totals of 5.7 inches in Chicago–West Ridge and 5.2 inches near Evanston, far below the Cook County-focused high-end scenario.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS attributes the local snowfall minimum across Chicago and adjacent suburbs to an unexpected separation of the two main intense bands.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The event did produce several thundersnow reports and rates above two inches per hour in the strongest bands, so the instability concern was real even though placement drove the local bust.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The 2–4-foot ceiling was explicitly conditional, not a forecast for every location; there is no Lincolnwood-specific observed total in the cited report, and the audio's 'coldest on the planet' comparison is not established by this review.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 November 9: the high-end snow scenario
01:54 Cold air aloft and the Buffalo comparison
04:15 NWS lake-effect setup and timing
06:54 The uncertain trailing snow band
08:33 Lake instability and temperature contrasts
13:11 Snow rates, thunder and travel hazards
18:39 Airport forecasts and second-band uncertainty
23:03 Lincolnwood snowfall forecast
25:28 Comparing AccuWeather and NWS scenarios

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative,...]]>1760false117fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-18-chicago-s-november-snow-record-and-the-next-storms-2025-11-30--75861417 (00:01:48) The November daily snowfall record
(00:04:03) Why the lakeside snow was unusual
(00:07:14) Skokie, Evanston and local totals
(00:11:18) Was it the biggest storm since 2021?
(00:13:36) Next storm: Monday night's snow
(00:18:41) More early-December systems
(00:20:12) Longer-range cold and closing reflections

POPULAR ARCHIVE 18 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-30. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-11-30 23:23:14 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The recap accurately highlighted a remarkable November snowfall record and local totals, and the outlook for further early-December snow was supported by subsequent events.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Mostly a recap of November 29–30 snow, followed by a forecast of about 1–4 inches Monday night and further early-December snow opportunities.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode's main purpose is to explain a storm that had just happened, followed by an outlook for what comes next. Its record observations are assessed as reporting, not misrepresented as advance predictions. The official station-versus-neighborhood distinction also helps resolve the question raised about the previous comparable storm.

NWS confirms O'Hare's 8.4 inches on November 29 set Chicago's November single-calendar-day record, while the full November 29–30 storm total was 8.7 inches.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The same report lists 10.0 inches at Skokie, 8.9 near Evanston and 8.7 in Chicago–West Ridge, close to the local amounts discussed.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS documents a December 1 event with 1–3 inches across the area and a December 6–7 clipper with 3–7 inches, supporting the forecast of more snow without proving every individual model scenario.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/No...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This episode was recorded after the record storm, so its recap is not credited as a successful advance forecast; the 'largest since January 30–31, 2021' comparison is confirmed by NWS, despite the host's doubts, and every-location wind or snow mechanism is not independently verified.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 November 30 recap and winter-storm ingredients
01:48 The November daily snowfall record
04:03 Why the lakeside snow was unusual
07:14 Skokie, Evanston and local totals
11:18 Was it the biggest storm since 2021?
13:36 Next storm: Monday night's snow
18:41 More early-December systems
20:12 Longer-range cold and closing reflections

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 68811691. Original source edition: (A popular and informative episode with added background music)11-30-25-Chicago: Storm Totals- 2 more on way- next 10 day forecast
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861417Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:09:56 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 18 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:48) The November daily snowfall record
(00:04:03) Why the lakeside snow was unusual
(00:07:14) Skokie, Evanston and local totals
(00:11:18) Was it the biggest storm since 2021?
(00:13:36) Next storm: Monday night's snow
(00:18:41) More early-December systems
(00:20:12) Longer-range cold and closing reflections

POPULAR ARCHIVE 18 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-30. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-11-30 23:23:14 UTC.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The recap accurately highlighted a remarkable November snowfall record and local totals, and the outlook for further early-December snow was supported by subsequent events.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
Mostly a recap of November 29–30 snow, followed by a forecast of about 1–4 inches Monday night and further early-December snow opportunities.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode's main purpose is to explain a storm that had just happened, followed by an outlook for what comes next. Its record observations are assessed as reporting, not misrepresented as advance predictions. The official station-versus-neighborhood distinction also helps resolve the question raised about the previous comparable storm.

NWS confirms O'Hare's 8.4 inches on November 29 set Chicago's November single-calendar-day record, while the full November 29–30 storm total was 8.7 inches.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The same report lists 10.0 inches at Skokie, 8.9 near Evanston and 8.7 in Chicago–West Ridge, close to the local amounts discussed.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS documents a December 1 event with 1–3 inches across the area and a December 6–7 clipper with 3–7 inches, supporting the forecast of more snow without proving every individual model scenario.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/No...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This episode was recorded after the record storm, so its recap is not credited as a successful advance forecast; the 'largest since January 30–31, 2021' comparison is confirmed by NWS, despite the host's doubts, and every-location wind or snow mechanism is not independently verified.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 November 30 recap and winter-storm ingredients
01:48 The November daily snowfall record
04:03 Why the lakeside snow was unusual
07:14 Skokie, Evanston and local totals
11:18 Was it the biggest storm since 2021?
13:36 Next storm: Monday night's snow
18:41 More early-December systems
20:12 Longer-range cold and closing reflections

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 68811691. Original source edition: (A popular and informative episode with added background music)11-30-25-Chicago: Storm Totals- 2 more on way- next 10 day forecast
1383false118fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-19-november-snow-record-alternate-source-edition-2025-11-30--75861422 (00:01:47) The November daily snowfall record
(00:04:05) Storm setup and Lake Michigan
(00:07:14) Observed neighborhood snow totals
(00:11:16) The January 2021 comparison
(00:13:35) Monday night's developing system
(00:18:39) More snow opportunities
(00:20:09) Longer-range cold and closing

POPULAR ARCHIVE 19 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-30. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-12-01 01:05:58 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
This alternate source edition preserves the same well-supported November snow recap and a useful outlook for the continuing early-December snowy pattern.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
An alternate source edition of the November 30 recap: the recent record snow, a 1–4-inch Monday-night possibility, and additional snow in early December.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
This is an alternate edition of the November 30 discussion, preserved because it is one of the requested archive entries. It is not presented as a separate, newly issued forecast. The shared content still deserves the same fair recognition for its correct observations and its subsequent snow outlook.

O'Hare's November 29 calendar-day snowfall was 8.4 inches and its November 29–30 storm total was 8.7 inches, confirming the distinction emphasized in the recording.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS confirms this was O'Hare's greatest storm-total snowfall since 10.8 inches on January 30–31, 2021, so the host's suggested correction to that comparison is unnecessary.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS reports 1–3 inches on December 1 and 3–7 inches from the December 6–7 clipper, supporting further accumulation after this episode.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/No...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The supplied archive contains multiple editions of this discussion; this file is preserved because all 22 source entries were requested, with its own audio timings, and a repeated observation is not counted as a separate forecast hit.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Alternate November 30 source edition
01:47 The November daily snowfall record
04:05 Storm setup and Lake Michigan
07:14 Observed neighborhood snow totals
11:16 The January 2021 comparison
13:35 Monday night's developing system
18:39 More snow opportunities
20:09 Longer-range cold and closing

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 68812366. Original source edition: (popular and informative) November 30th snow totals Chicago Illinois and the 10-day forecast
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861422Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:10:13 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 19 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:47) The November daily snowfall record
(00:04:05) Storm setup and Lake Michigan
(00:07:14) Observed neighborhood snow totals
(00:11:16) The January 2021 comparison
(00:13:35) Monday night's developing system
(00:18:39) More snow opportunities
(00:20:09) Longer-range cold and closing

POPULAR ARCHIVE 19 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-30. Verified source-edition publication: 2025-12-01 01:05:58 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
This alternate source edition preserves the same well-supported November snow recap and a useful outlook for the continuing early-December snowy pattern.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
An alternate source edition of the November 30 recap: the recent record snow, a 1–4-inch Monday-night possibility, and additional snow in early December.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
This is an alternate edition of the November 30 discussion, preserved because it is one of the requested archive entries. It is not presented as a separate, newly issued forecast. The shared content still deserves the same fair recognition for its correct observations and its subsequent snow outlook.

O'Hare's November 29 calendar-day snowfall was 8.4 inches and its November 29–30 storm total was 8.7 inches, confirming the distinction emphasized in the recording.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS confirms this was O'Hare's greatest storm-total snowfall since 10.8 inches on January 30–31, 2021, so the host's suggested correction to that comparison is unnecessary.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

NWS reports 1–3 inches on December 1 and 3–7 inches from the December 6–7 clipper, supporting further accumulation after this episode.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/No...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
The supplied archive contains multiple editions of this discussion; this file is preserved because all 22 source entries were requested, with its own audio timings, and a repeated observation is not counted as a separate forecast hit.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 Alternate November 30 source edition
01:47 The November daily snowfall record
04:05 Storm setup and Lake Michigan
07:14 Observed neighborhood snow totals
11:16 The January 2021 comparison
13:35 Monday night's developing system
18:39 More snow opportunities
20:09 Longer-range cold and closing

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 68812366. Original source edition: (popular and informative) November 30th snow totals Chicago Illinois and the 10-day forecast
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a...]]>1381false119fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-20-november-snow-record-later-reissue-2025-11-30--75861423 (00:01:48) Chicago's November daily snow record
(00:04:03) A rare lakeside snow setup
(00:07:14) Skokie, Evanston and Chicago totals
(00:11:18) The January 2021 comparison
(00:13:36) Monday-night snow and the next systems
(00:18:41) Early-December snow outlook
(00:20:12) Longer-range cold and closing

POPULAR ARCHIVE 20 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-30. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-02-23 20:41:06 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable. This source is a later reissue; the first publication of the underlying recording has not been independently established.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
This later source reissue retains the accurate record-snow recap and the useful expectation of more early-December snow; its weather content belongs to November 30, not its later upload date.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A later-published source reissue of the November 30, 2025 discussion, not a February weather forecast.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Preserving the recording's actual content date prevents listeners from mistaking a later source upload for a February forecast. As with the other November 30 editions, the observed record and the forward-looking portions are assessed separately. A broad longer-range cold signal is not treated as a precise surface-temperature promise for one day.

NWS records 8.4 inches at O'Hare on November 29 and 8.7 for the whole storm, with Skokie at 10.0 inches and Evanston at 8.9 inches.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The subsequent December 1 snowfall of 1–3 inches and December 6–7 clipper snowfall of 3–7 inches support the recording's expectation of more early-season snow.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/No...

O'Hare's December 10 high was 40°F and its December 14 low was −2°F, so a later cold pattern developed, but a model's upper-air cold pocket should not be read as a precise surface-temperature prediction.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This audio overlaps the earlier November 30 editions and is included as a clearly labeled source reissue, not a new forecast; the source-edition publication timestamp in 2026 does not move the recording's weather content into February.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 November 30 recording: later source reissue
01:48 Chicago's November daily snow record
04:03 A rare lakeside snow setup
07:14 Skokie, Evanston and Chicago totals
11:18 The January 2021 comparison
13:36 Monday-night snow and the next systems
18:41 Early-December snow outlook
20:12 Longer-range cold and closing

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 70238034. Original source edition: Informative and popular episode from November 30th 2025 regarding a Rare Chicago November southern stream Snow
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861423Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:10:31 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 20 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:48) Chicago's November daily snow record
(00:04:03) A rare lakeside snow setup
(00:07:14) Skokie, Evanston and Chicago totals
(00:11:18) The January 2021 comparison
(00:13:36) Monday-night snow and the next systems
(00:18:41) Early-December snow outlook
(00:20:12) Longer-range cold and closing

POPULAR ARCHIVE 20 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2025-11-30. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-02-23 20:41:06 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable. This source is a later reissue; the first publication of the underlying recording has not been independently established.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
This later source reissue retains the accurate record-snow recap and the useful expectation of more early-December snow; its weather content belongs to November 30, not its later upload date.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A later-published source reissue of the November 30, 2025 discussion, not a February weather forecast.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
Preserving the recording's actual content date prevents listeners from mistaking a later source upload for a February forecast. As with the other November 30 editions, the observed record and the forward-looking portions are assessed separately. A broad longer-range cold signal is not treated as a precise surface-temperature promise for one day.

NWS records 8.4 inches at O'Hare on November 29 and 8.7 for the whole storm, with Skokie at 10.0 inches and Evanston at 8.9 inches.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/20...

The subsequent December 1 snowfall of 1–3 inches and December 6–7 clipper snowfall of 3–7 inches support the recording's expectation of more early-season snow.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/lot/No...

O'Hare's December 10 high was 40°F and its December 14 low was −2°F, so a later cold pattern developed, but a model's upper-air cold pocket should not be read as a precise surface-temperature prediction.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This audio overlaps the earlier November 30 editions and is included as a clearly labeled source reissue, not a new forecast; the source-edition publication timestamp in 2026 does not move the recording's weather content into February.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 November 30 recording: later source reissue
01:48 Chicago's November daily snow record
04:03 A rare lakeside snow setup
07:14 Skokie, Evanston and Chicago totals
11:18 The January 2021 comparison
13:36 Monday-night snow and the next systems
18:41 Early-December snow outlook
20:12 Longer-range cold and closing

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.
1383false120fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-21-arctic-outbreak-and-a-southern-winter-storm-2026-01-19--75861426 (00:01:57) Southern mixed precipitation and East Coast guidance
(00:03:22) Chicago clippers and frontal snow
(00:05:36) The Arctic high and southern ice threat
(00:07:03) Blocking, jet-stream pattern and storm track
(00:10:14) Chicago's dangerous-cold forecast
(00:11:16) Next-week speculation and commute advice

POPULAR ARCHIVE 21 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2026-01-19. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-01-20 04:25:17 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A useful early warning of dangerous Arctic cold and a major southern/eastern winter storm; the eventual Northeast snowfall was greater than the initial city guidance discussed.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A major southern and eastern winter storm January 24–26, dangerous Arctic cold in Chicago, and initially lighter 1–4-inch snow guidance for some northeastern cities.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
This outlook was issued several days before the weekend event and expressly says the track was not set in stone. The host's double-digit-subzero cold concern verified at O'Hare, while an all-day subzero high was discussed as a possibility rather than a certainty. The much larger later Northeast snow totals show why those early numbers needed updating, not that the broader storm warning lacked value.

O'Hare reached lows of −11°F on January 23 and −10°F on January 24, supporting the warning of double-digit-subzero cold; its January 23 high was 5°F, so the possible all-day subzero scenario did not occur at that station.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Baltimore-Washington Airport recorded 11.3 inches on January 25 and LaGuardia totaled 10.1 inches on January 25–26, well above the early 1–4-inch East Coast figures discussed.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

NWS Paducah describes a major January 24–25 winter storm with 4–8 inches of snow and sleet across the southern half of its region and 8–14 inches in parts of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana, with a major ice storm farther south in Tennessee and Mississippi.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/pah/Ja...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This was an early forecast with stated track uncertainty; station snowfall is not ice thickness, and Florida palm-tree snow, precise wind chills and every clipper amount are not verified by these observations.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 January 19: Arctic outbreak and southern storm
01:57 Southern mixed precipitation and East Coast guidance
03:22 Chicago clippers and frontal snow
05:36 The Arctic high and southern ice threat
07:03 Blocking, jet-stream pattern and storm track
10:14 Chicago's dangerous-cold forecast
11:16 Next-week speculation and commute advice

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 69514345. Original source edition: (popular)Update on clipper system in Chicago and major significant snow for the South Central States
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861426Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:10:47 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 21 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:57) Southern mixed precipitation and East Coast guidance
(00:03:22) Chicago clippers and frontal snow
(00:05:36) The Arctic high and southern ice threat
(00:07:03) Blocking, jet-stream pattern and storm track
(00:10:14) Chicago's dangerous-cold forecast
(00:11:16) Next-week speculation and commute advice

POPULAR ARCHIVE 21 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2026-01-19. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-01-20 04:25:17 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
A useful early warning of dangerous Arctic cold and a major southern/eastern winter storm; the eventual Northeast snowfall was greater than the initial city guidance discussed.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A major southern and eastern winter storm January 24–26, dangerous Arctic cold in Chicago, and initially lighter 1–4-inch snow guidance for some northeastern cities.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
This outlook was issued several days before the weekend event and expressly says the track was not set in stone. The host's double-digit-subzero cold concern verified at O'Hare, while an all-day subzero high was discussed as a possibility rather than a certainty. The much larger later Northeast snow totals show why those early numbers needed updating, not that the broader storm warning lacked value.

O'Hare reached lows of −11°F on January 23 and −10°F on January 24, supporting the warning of double-digit-subzero cold; its January 23 high was 5°F, so the possible all-day subzero scenario did not occur at that station.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Baltimore-Washington Airport recorded 11.3 inches on January 25 and LaGuardia totaled 10.1 inches on January 25–26, well above the early 1–4-inch East Coast figures discussed.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

NWS Paducah describes a major January 24–25 winter storm with 4–8 inches of snow and sleet across the southern half of its region and 8–14 inches in parts of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana, with a major ice storm farther south in Tennessee and Mississippi.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/pah/Ja...

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
This was an early forecast with stated track uncertainty; station snowfall is not ice thickness, and Florida palm-tree snow, precise wind chills and every clipper amount are not verified by these observations.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 January 19: Arctic outbreak and southern storm
01:57 Southern mixed precipitation and East Coast guidance
03:22 Chicago clippers and frontal snow
05:36 The Arctic high and southern ice threat
07:03 Blocking, jet-stream pattern and storm track
10:14 Chicago's dangerous-cold forecast
11:16 Next-week speculation...]]>783false121fullhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/popular-archive-22-winter-storm-shifts-north-st-louis-to-baltimore-2026-01-21--75861430 (00:01:42) Pacific and Gulf moisture
(00:02:26) Chicago's northern edge and lake-effect potential
(00:03:28) The evolving storm track
(00:05:39) Snow totals and ratios
(00:08:36) Baltimore, Arctic cold and the major cities
(00:10:52) Snow squalls and Friday's cold
(00:11:31) Washington, New York and Chicago details

POPULAR ARCHIVE 22 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2026-01-21. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-01-22 00:28:48 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The updated forecast captured the northward expansion, St. Louis's significant snow and Baltimore's near-foot outcome well, with a useful eye on Chicago lake enhancement; Washington's quoted model amount was higher than the station total.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A northward-shifting winter storm, at least six inches possible in St. Louis, near a foot around Baltimore, significant Washington/New York snow, and possible Chicago lake enhancement.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode distinguishes model snowfall from official forecasts and tells listeners to check whether sleet or freezing rain could change totals. That qualification matters when reviewing a 10:1 snow map. The successful regional trend and several close city calls should be recognized alongside the more optimistic Washington figure.

St. Louis Lambert recorded 5.1 inches on January 24 and 3.1 on January 25, totaling 8.2 inches, supporting the six-inch-plus St. Louis concern.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Baltimore-Washington Airport recorded 11.3 inches on January 25, close to the forecast's foot of snow, while Reagan National recorded 6.9 inches, less than the 11.5-inch Washington model amount quoted.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

LaGuardia totaled 10.1 inches on January 25–26, broadly supporting a major New York snow event but not establishing one uniform citywide amount.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

NWS Chicago confirms lake-enhanced snow on January 25 with higher amounts in eastern Cook County.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

O'Hare's daily snowfall totaled 4.4 inches on January 24–25.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,TMIN,SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

SCOPE OF THIS CHECK
Snow and sleet can differ among official totals and locations; this review does not turn a model's 10:1 snow map into a guaranteed depth, and the airport total alone cannot establish whether all of Chicago experienced a separate pure lake-effect event.

CHAPTERS IN THE ORIGINAL AUDIO
00:00 January 21: the northward storm shift
01:42 Pacific and Gulf moisture
02:26 Chicago's northern edge and lake-effect potential
03:28 The evolving storm track
05:39 Snow totals and ratios
08:36 Baltimore, Arctic cold and the major cities
10:52 Snow squalls and Friday's cold
11:31 Washington, New York and Chicago details

Review prepared October 19, 2026. Checks are limited to cited locations, dates and metrics; no numerical accuracy score is assigned. 'Popular Archive' is the publisher's selection label, not a verified current rank. Cover artwork is illustrative, not a historical map or photograph of this specific event.

Source episode ID: 69540003. Original source edition: (popular)1/21/26: Major Southern historic winter storm expands northward
https://www.spreaker.com/episo...

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/did-the-forecast-hold--7479728/support.]]>https://api.spreaker.com/episode/75861430Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:11:05 +0000Weather With EnthusiasmPOPULAR ARCHIVE 22 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied. HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.... (00:01:42) Pacific and Gulf moisture
(00:02:26) Chicago's northern edge and lake-effect potential
(00:03:28) The evolving storm track
(00:05:39) Snow totals and ratios
(00:08:36) Baltimore, Arctic cold and the major cities
(00:10:52) Snow squalls and Friday's cold
(00:11:31) Washington, New York and Chicago details

POPULAR ARCHIVE 22 OF 22 | Original Weather With Enthusiasm audio, preserved as supplied.

HISTORICAL RECORDING, NOT A CURRENT FORECAST. The review below is written only and is not spoken in this audio. No AI review narration has been added.

Recording/content date: 2026-01-21. Verified source-edition publication: 2026-01-22 00:28:48 UTC. These are separate dates, not interchangeable.

FORECAST VS. REALITY
The updated forecast captured the northward expansion, St. Louis's significant snow and Baltimore's near-foot outcome well, with a useful eye on Chicago lake enhancement; Washington's quoted model amount was higher than the station total.

WHAT THE ORIGINAL AUDIO SAYS
A northward-shifting winter storm, at least six inches possible in St. Louis, near a foot around Baltimore, significant Washington/New York snow, and possible Chicago lake enhancement.

PUTTING THE FORECAST IN CONTEXT
The episode distinguishes model snowfall from official forecasts and tells listeners to check whether sleet or freezing rain could change totals. That qualification matters when reviewing a 10:1 snow map. The successful regional trend and several close city calls should be recognized alongside the more optimistic Washington figure.

St. Louis Lambert recorded 5.1 inches on January 24 and 3.1 on January 25, totaling 8.2 inches, supporting the six-inch-plus St. Louis concern.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

Baltimore-Washington Airport recorded 11.3 inches on January 25, close to the forecast's foot of snow, while Reagan National recorded 6.9 inches, less than the 11.5-inch Washington model amount quoted.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

LaGuardia totaled 10.1 inches on January 25–26, broadly supporting a major New York snow event but not establishing one uniform citywide amount.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/acce...,USW00013743,USW00014732,USW00013994&startDate=2026-01-24&endDate=2026-01-27&dataTypes=SNOW&units=standard&format=json&includeStationName=true)

NWS Chicago confirms lake-enhanced snow on January 25 with higher amounts in eastern Cook County.
(National Weather Service event report: https://www.weather.gov/media/...

O'Hare's daily snowfall totaled 4.4 inches on January 24–25.
(NOAA NCEI daily station observations: 832false122full