Robert Young - YFS Private Client Market & Economy Audio-Email

Episode 178 - Robert Young: 28 MAY Market & Economy Update - ARE THE MARKETS SAYING, "ALL CLEAR"?

Wed, 28 May 2025 19:41:15 +0000

Friends,
Except for a few stragglers, Earning Season is over.
Since this is the acid test for the impact of President Trumps’ use of tariffs as the dice in his Global “Not It” game, let’s take a look, shall we?
Robert

Episode 177 - Robert Young: 9 MAY - P.T. BARNUM or GAME THEORY GENIUS - TARIFF TRUTHS

Fri, 09 May 2025 17:31:57 +0000

Friends,
The “Trade Agreement” with the United Kingdom
Is this P.T. Barnum Press Conference Soundbite Showmanship or Reality?
Let’s look at facts…

Cynically Optimistic,
Robert

Episode 176 - Robert Young: 23 April - The Market & The Economy - A CIVIC'S LESSON FOR OUR PRESIDENT

Wed, 23 Apr 2025 12:59:09 +0000

Friends,
I assume we all know better than to use postings on an unregulated social media platform as the gospel truth. I'm confident that the vacuous pronouncements delivered with gusto are taken as bombastic theater - I am proud of y’all for your skepticism when you hear the fanciful, fabricated, “Trumped-Up” statements regarding “soon to be” signed tariff and trade agreements. But most of all, tears of joy swell in my eyes brought on by the elation and delight I feel knowing that you we're all Gold Star recipients in your civics classes and chuckle when the President triggers havoc with Markets with inaccurate statements regarding his ability to terminate the head of a non-government agency.
Request his resignation? Yes
Terminate? Nope

Robert

Episode 175 - Robert Young: 10 April - Orchestrating a Financial Surprise / Benefit - ADDENDUM

Thu, 10 Apr 2025 16:20:31 +0000

Friends,
For your consideration, I present facts related to the Market's miraculous, surprise climb on 9 April.
Was this truly for the benefit of America(ans) or orchestrated for the benefit of a select few?

Immediately after his post regarding the tariff suspension, in his following post, Prersident Trump proclaims, "it's a great time to buy the DJ" (Dow Jones Index)

Was this a signal?

Regardless, I present my thoughts on the four players involved in the Market explosion and the person whom I believe is the "Wizard behind the curtain"
Hint - it ain't President Trump

i hope I'm wrong :(
Robert

Episode 174 - Robert Young: 10 April Trump's Tariff Suspension Announcement - PERSPECTIVE

Thu, 10 Apr 2025 15:53:09 +0000

Friends,
Yesterday's "surprise" announcement by President Trump jacked Markets up by 9%+
But, was it for the benefit of America(ans) or a calculated "pump & dump" scheme orchestrated to reward those who breathe in "rarefied air"?

That's a cocktail party philosophical question that means nothing to me...

i'm interested in facts - and, today's 4+% clawback of the Market's 9% "gain" (making a net gain of 5% on yesterdays' news) appears to support the facts and data presented in today's audio-email.

In a follow up (addendum) to this audio-email, I explore the empirical evidence supporting the case for an orchestrated "surprise"

Robert

Episode 173 - Robert Young: 8 APRIL -- TARIFFS - "IT AIN'T OVER 'TILL IT'S OVER"

Tue, 08 Apr 2025 19:38:27 +0000

Friends,
At 3:00 AM when I booted up the system and looked at the futures market, seeing that it was up 800 points was mildly amusing to me.
By the opening bell, the market was up 1400+ points (around 3.5%).
This elicited an audible guffaw.
Seeing the market close <320 points / – 84%> Joined by the S&P 500's return of -1.5% and the Nasdaq’s return of -2.15%, makes me smile.
Anyone making investment or market decisions/assessments based on financial news' sound bites…

As the saying goes, “It ain’t over till it's over”.

Based on the indicators I outline in this audio, we are close to deploying the cash in your account to make money from this bloodbath, but we're not quite there yet.

Robert

Episode 172 - Robert Young: 4 April - Professor Young's Class on Artificial Intelligence

Fri, 04 Apr 2025 12:36:32 +0000

Friends,
After fielding several regarding Artificial Intelligence (AI - What is it?, How is it controlled? I swear my toaster is eyeballing me - should I be afraid?) I wondered if some may have questions but simply haven't reached out to ask. Maybe this very primitive, elementary overview of the systems and models identified as AI.
Robert

Episode 171 - Robert Young 3 April - Quick Comment on the Market's Reaction to Tariffs

Thu, 03 Apr 2025 17:49:20 +0000

Friends,
It's easy to get caught up in the drama of today's Market reaction triggered by President Trump's outline of the trade and tariff policy scheduled to deploy over the next several days.
I hope this audio e-mail puts his program and objective in context as a lucid and realistic alternative to the Market’s over-reaction (In my opinion)

Regardless, I am excited for the chaos and opportunities exposed during this knowing full well that we have deep pockets of cash ready to deploy in order for you to benefit from the Market's tantrum. Robert

Episode 170 - Robert Young: 2 April - Market & Economy Update - SURPRISED BY THE SELLOFF... REALLY!!??

Wed, 02 Apr 2025 16:54:21 +0000

Friends,
Happy Liberation Day! 😊
If you are worried or surprised by the recent repricing of the stock market (Market drop) or believe that the tariffs enacted today (just another set invoked and revised since February) are triggers for the Market decline which has taken the value down approximately10% from the peak achieved in late 2024 – then I have failed you :(
Months ago, based on new data and facts, I 86’d my belief that recession was imminent and would
result in a Market revaluation - and began focusing on the support systems (aka Consumer spending & Corporate revenue) necessary to maintain the ballooning value of the stock market. Although it's been six weeks since I’ve reached out, I have continued to monitor the data and feel that it is time to share an update.
Tariffs and Recession are making headlines.
Done so, I believe, because they make an easy link to one individual or administration and simplifies for people the Principal of Causation - the basic relationship between,” cause and effect”. Today, beginning with the math proving the unhinged valuation of the stock market, followed by data published by the Federal Reserve regarding inflation and debt delinquencies (credit card, auto loans & home loans), with a sprinkling of inflation's true impact on basic pleasures (dining out) - while folding in the actions of corporations (giddily outlined in press releases during the recent earning season) who have decided to drain every drop of blood from there consumer base before the consumers’ inescapable financial death. I have distilled this down to you in the most prosaic terms, “this market will correct and adjust the valuation when consumers/people run out of money.” This lengthy audio provides updated data and facts reminding you of this – it's just math, repricing of the market was inevitable regardless Fortunately, we have stored a great deal of ammunition in your account and will engage when the time is right for you to benefit.
Robert

Episode 170 - Robert Young - YFS Private Client Market & Economy Audio-Email

Mon, 17 Feb 2025 00:59:42 +0000

Episode 168 - Robert Young: 3 Jan Semiconductors, Technology & Utilities - OUR AI TRILOGY

Fri, 03 Jan 2025 19:41:13 +0000

Friends,
We are riding the AI fandom wave, but unlike others who are buying ""Cause It's the Future, Man...", we have done our research and know exactly why we're in the game and are invested in the Sector/Industry reaping quantifiable profits.

Robert

Episode 167 - Robert Young: 29 DEC - Dividend Reinvestment Programs - YOUR BROKERAGE FIRM "THANKS YOU" :)

Sun, 29 Dec 2024 23:44:26 +0000

Friends,
Yes, another client inspired audio-email.
Ever wonder why I don't suggest initiating an automatic dividend re-investment program?
Maybe you have, maybe you haven't...

Like many things, it looks good on paper...

Robert

Episode 166 - Robert Young:29 DEC - Mortgage Rates & Housing - Is a Window of Opportunity Opening?

Sun, 29 Dec 2024 21:32:01 +0000

Friends,
Recently, conversations with clients included the topic of missed opportunities & the halcyon days of fast sales and big profits made from over-priced homes triggered the question, "Is there something in the data we monitor that I could find which might fan the flame of hope for these clients?"

Several days (and a few sleepless nights), using data from the Federal Reserve Banks that track this kind of stuff, sprinkled with inflationary stardust, provided an interesting possibility which I shared with them.
This audio-email was inspired by the thought that others may have the same question and be interested in the implications shown by this factual historical data.

TO BE CLEAR - This is a Hypothesis based on Conjecture!
The real-estate market is not in my wheelhouse and I'm not Tiresias...

Robert

Episode 165 - Robert Young : 28 DEC - MARKETS & THE ECONOMY - WAS CHAIRMAN POWELL WARNING US?

Sat, 28 Dec 2024 18:56:49 +0000

Friends,

On 19 Dec, during the post-FOMC news conference, Chairman Powell's casual mention of the committee's concern regarding increasing inflationary pressures (aka - rising inflation = rising cost of goods & services) triggered a Market liquidation.
We'll look at the Fed's own data to investigate.
Keep in mind, when the Consumer runs out of Cash, Markets will re-price as Corporate revenue drops.

Robert

Episode 164 - Robert Young 4 DEC - Monday 2 Dec Market & Economy Overview - PART 2

Wed, 04 Dec 2024 15:14:58 +0000

Friends,
Good Morning.
Monday’s (2 Dec) audio-email started with a broad look at the Market & the Economy and closed with updates on our investments.

My thoughts on the Market & Economy included coverage of inflation data. Verbally pictorializing the historical path of inflation data since 2020 prompted responses from several clients for clarification and examples/validation. I love these requests - it provides an opportunity to spotlight supporting facts. As an addendum to Monday's presentation, today's audio presents data published by the Federal Reserve which provides detail and clarity to Monday's information portrait I painted.

Since sleep is a frivolous activity, I recorded this around 2am. As I was wrapping up (what was a very short, fact packed presentation), misfiring synapses spawned an additional chapter covering politics, the economy, the stock market, and thoughts on willful ignorance.

Hope you find this educational and entertaining.
Robert

Episode 163 - Robert Young 2 DEC Market & Economy Overview & Investment - UPDATES

Mon, 02 Dec 2024 18:12:55 +0000

Friends,
Not to sound like a fatalist but it's hard to buy the narrative that, "The Economy is Swell & The American Consumer is Flush with Cash and doing just fine!" - especially when Economic data portends an opposite landscape.
I'll share factual data released by both the Federal Government & American Industry - please decide for yourself if we're really in the land of Rainbows & Unicorns that the Financial Headlines & Federal Reserve claim.

I'll close with an update on GrowGeneration (Cannabis re-scheduling update) and cover the newest additions to our investment family.

Robert

Episode 162 Robert Young 14 NOV - Market & Economy Update - INVESTMENT CHANGES

Wed, 13 Nov 2024 20:23:56 +0000

Friends,
Regardless of the enthusiasm each new day's headlines bring, my cautious optimism is tempered by the reality of economic news which continues to flash cautionary signals. In fact, two of the most trusted metrics for determining The Market’s under valuation, neutral valuation, or overvaluation (the Schiller P/E & Buffet Indicator) both show a Market that cannot be supported by economic facts.
I review both in today's update.
Despite this, there are two undervalued sectors our calculations have identified.
These are identified in today's update and I'm initiating an opening position for both in all accounts.

Robert

Episode 161 - Robert Young 30 OCT GROW-GENERATION Update (Sort of...)

Wed, 30 Oct 2024 19:02:23 +0000

Friends,
This update is "Company / Investment Adjacent". We're not going to cover any updates regarding the Company, rather, we're diving into a specific event which has the potential to stoke rapaciousness in this sector (more importantly - in our little investment).

We'll see...
Robert

Episode 160 - Robert Young 20 AUG - VERIZON - UPDATE with REVISED PRICE TARGET

Tue, 20 Aug 2024 20:17:50 +0000

Friends,
Let's explore what our little telecommunication investment is up to these days....

Robert

Episode 159 - Robert Young 20 AUG APPLE Stock - Class Action Notification

Mon, 19 Aug 2024 16:43:42 +0000

Friends,
Some of you may have received a notice of a class action lawsuit against APPLE and have been invited to join the party!
Unfortunately, we don't qualify :(
In this audio-email, I explain why...
Robert

Episode 158 ROBERT YOUNG 15 AUG - The Market & The Economy - Review of Inflation Reports - PPI, CPI, Initial Jobless Claims & Retail Sales

Thu, 15 Aug 2024 17:28:32 +0000

Friends,
I know what you're thinking, “poor Robin (my Family name) - what happened to him as a child to create such a nihilist - so full of negative thoughts…”
Let me assure you, my childhood Hug Quota was exceeded 😊
Even experiences in combat couldn't shade my inner happiness and outlook which kept me a walking Pollyanna.

It's taken years of exposure to the skullduggery which permeates the investment & economic reporting & data we rely on to manifest my cynicism.

Only the education of mentors, who taught me how to ignore headlines and read the facts, has armored me.
I hope to do for you by sharing what I've learned,

I realize, like this one, some of these audio emails are lengthy.
My aim is to present an Executive Summary with the most salient points, however when you are covering four or five mission critical targets, it's a little tough to do within a 5-minute window.

I apologize for the lengthiness of this one. I believe it's the longest you've ever had to endure.
I hope you find it beneficial.
Robert

Episode 157 - Robert Young 14 AUG - The PPI & CPI Reports, Rate Cut Mania & What Economic Indicators Are Telling Us

Wed, 14 Aug 2024 12:13:36 +0000

Friends,
The Stock Market IS NOT the Economy - let's look at the facts as the CPI report is released today.
Robert

Episode 156 - Robert Young: 13 MAY - The Market & Economy UPDATE - ACT III - THE CURTAIN FALLS

Mon, 13 May 2024 20:19:24 +0000

Friends,
It’s time for the final act of the story/update.
Robert

Episode 155 - Robert Young: 13 MAY - The Market & Economy UPDATE - ACT II - LEADERSHIP LIES & DECEIT

Mon, 13 May 2024 20:02:28 +0000

Friends,
The part of this I love the most is when our Leaders tell us “how great a job THEY are doing & how much WE are benefiting by their work”!
You can’t make this stuff up ☹
Robert

Episode 154 - Robert Young: 13 MAY - The Market & Economy UPDATE - ACT I - OUR STORY BEGINS

Mon, 13 May 2024 14:34:09 +0000

Friends,
I no longer identify with “Recession”.
I identify as “Market Valuation Adjustment”.
Thank you,
Robert

Episode 153 - Robert Young: NO RATE CUTS - Chairman Powell Might Be Lying - Here's Why

Thu, 09 May 2024 15:14:14 +0000

Friends,
Last year, while being by the Senate Banking Committee, I believe Chairman Powell gave justification for cutting rates later this year and it won't be because the 2% inflation rate has been reached - itwill be to save the Banking Sector from collapse.

Decide for yourself as I cover the facts.

We'll see,
Robert

Episode 152 - Robert Young: 8 MAY - The Market & Economy - The Market Ignores Powell & The FOMC

Wed, 08 May 2024 15:46:55 +0000

Friends,
Don't Forget Our Investment Golden Rule:

THE MARKET IS NOT the ECONOMY!

Let’s review Current Economic Data (i.e. Economic Facts)
Robert

Episode 151 ROBERT YOUNG: GROW GENERATION - THIS IS A MASTER CLASS ON FEDERAL DE-REGULATION

Wed, 08 May 2024 15:17:08 +0000

Friends,
This one waste’s “0” (zero) time on Grow Generation but gives you a MASTER CLASS on THE Federal Regulations which will save our bacon and maybe even toss us a shekel or two in profit$$$
This’ll definitely be worth your time.

Enjoy
Robert

Episode 150 ROBERT YOUNG: WALGREENS - Update

Tue, 07 May 2024 19:25:37 +0000

Friends,
Let’s look at Walgreens now and see what’s happening with our investment.
Robert

Episode 149 ROBERT YOUNG: VERIZON - Update

Tue, 07 May 2024 18:23:00 +0000

Friends,
I know… I know… It’s been too long – but, as an explanation & not an excuse, there hasn’t been a significant reason to send an update.
Until now…
Let’s start with an update on VERIZON and go from there.
LOL – Be careful what you wish for 😊
Enjoy,
Robert

Episode 148 - Robert Young - YFS Private Client Market & Economy Audio-Email

Mon, 19 Feb 2024 16:00:16 +0000

Episode 147 - Robert Young - 30 JAN - The Market & The Economy - Levels Built On Unicorns & Rainbows

Tue, 30 Jan 2024 16:51:34 +0000

Friends,
The fervor over any tech company with even a passing acquaintance with AI continues to drive this market. It is fueled with the untenable belief that the Federal Reserve will initiate rate cuts as early as March.
I guess it’s true
A man convinced against his will is of the same opinion still

Let’s hang on, and observe the madness :)

Robert

Episode 146 - Robert Young 30 JAN - Consolidated Communications - We Go To War on Thursday

Tue, 30 Jan 2024 13:55:55 +0000

Thursday the 31st is an emergency shareholder meeting, where we will be voting on the potential sale of our shares of consolidated communication to a private equity firm who wants to take the company private

Episode 145 - Robert Young: 25 SEP - The Market is Overvalued - YFS In-House Indicator

Mon, 25 Sep 2023 17:11:38 +0000

Friends,
This audio shares the in-house formula we have developed to gauge the current value of the S&P 500.
The Buffett Indicator looks at the value of the Total Stock Market but we laser in on the S&P 500.
According to the formula, let's see if it's over or undervalued?

Robert

Episode 144 - Robert Young: 22 SEP - The Stock Market is Overvalued - The (Warren) Buffett Indicator

Fri, 22 Sep 2023 21:43:15 +0000

Friends,
Today, we are going to have a class on The (Warren) Buffet Indicator. A very simple approach he uses to determine whether the stock market is overvalued or undervalued. If its overvalued and we wander down the Dark Alley of Recession (as outlined in the previous audio) then we want to be aware of just how much the stock market could decline in value.
Of course, I could be wrong about a pending recession.
But I could be right.
We’ll see.
Robert

Episode 143 - Robert Young: 21 SEPT - Recession Indicators Continue To Strengthen

Thu, 21 Sep 2023 17:36:31 +0000

Episode 142 - Robert Young: 10 AUG - Class Is In Session - CPI vs PCE Inflation Reports

Thu, 10 Aug 2023 11:53:16 +0000

Friends,
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be released in a bit.
Within the Federal Government, two agencies monitor inflationary trends and release their findings monthly.
We'll look at their similarities and differences.
In your heart, you'll hope that the monetary policies affecting ALL of us financially, are created for our benefit by Chairman Powell and his Team at the Federal Reserve using the one which provides the truest clarity.

Robert

Episode 141 - Robert Young: 8 AUGUST - "SPOTLIGHT" on our Transportation Index - SOLD / WE'RE OUT!

Tue, 08 Aug 2023 17:47:43 +0000

Friends,
On 3 MAY, I presented the justification for investing in the Transportation Index.
While I still believe the argument has merit, internal repositioning of the index negated the rationalization for the decision.
Quietly, Airlines staged a Leadership Coup.
When I saw DELTA Airlines’ CEO gloating over profits as images of stranded customers and cancelled flights were juxtaposed with his visage, I felt the Index’s rise above our initial investment was temporary and liquidated our position.
Since our Victory on 30 June, the index has headed south…

Sometimes, the Win isn’t from a position reaching its true Value but about Risk Mitigation and Recovering our Investment – Without Loss!
Robert

Episode 141 -Robert Young: 29 MAY Team Powell Supports Our Hypothesis - Recession Dead Ahead

Tue, 30 May 2023 06:17:56 +0000

Friends,
Today, we review the 2 May FOMC meeting minutes released by Team Powell to see if there is any support for our Recession Hypothesis. Underneath the photo, you’ll find a link to a CNBC story on the “Wealth Effect” and further down, data on increasing credit card debt & delinquencies.
Semper Fi,
Robert

Episode 139 - Robert Young: 4 MAY "Spotlight" on Grow Generation - Position Update

Thu, 04 May 2023 14:16:00 +0000

Friends,
Let's turn our "Spotlight" on Grow Generation - the "Home Depot" for Cannabis Farmers.
Robert

Episode 138 - Robert Young: 3 MAY “Spotlight” on our Transportation Index - Position Update

Thu, 04 May 2023 09:50:09 +0000

Friends,
Let’s turn our “Spotlight” on our investment in all things Transportation with our S&P 500 Transportation Index.
Robert

Episode 137 - Robert Young: 4 MAY “Spotlight” on Smith & Wesson - Position Update

Thu, 04 May 2023 07:15:08 +0000

Friends,
Let's look at Smith & Wesson.
Robert

Episode 136 - Robert Young 1 MAY "Spotlight" on VERIZON - Position Update

Thu, 27 Apr 2023 17:41:25 +0000

Friends,
Throwing a Spotlight on VERIZON
Robert

Episode 135 - Robert Young 1 MAY "Spotlight" on WALGREENS - Position Update

Thu, 27 Apr 2023 15:49:55 +0000

Friends,
Let’s throw a Spotlight on WALGREENS
Robert

Episode 134 - Robert Young: 1 MAY "Spotlight" on Consolidated Communications - Position Update / Buy-Out Offer

Thu, 27 Apr 2023 15:18:00 +0000

Friends,
Let’s look at our investment in Consolidated Communications.
Robert

Episode 133 -Robert Young: 30 APRIL Markets & The Economy - Good Times / Bad Times - It's All About Cash, Baby!

Wed, 26 Apr 2023 15:44:04 +0000

Friends,
Let’s look at the education riches April rained down on us. We’ll peak inside the mind of Chairman Powell and his merry Band of Governors by reading his diary (March’s FOMC meeting minutes), contemplate things we’ve learned from Corporate CEO’s & Presidents during the current earning season and finish up with a quick class on Money Supply (Life when you have a pocketful of Cash) Robert

Episode 132 - Robert Young: 22 MARCH Today's Federal Reserve Meeting - What Adventure Awaits?

Wed, 22 Mar 2023 11:33:00 +0000

Friends,
At 2pm, the Head of the Federal Reserve, Chairman Powell, will announce the Committee's decision on a rate hike increase.
Fingers crossed that his words will trigger a positive Market rally.
We shall see...
Robert

Episode 132 Robert Young: 14 MARCH Class on Bonds, Bank Failures, Bank Bailouts & The Potential Trigger for a Stock Rally

Tue, 14 Mar 2023 14:03:43 +0000

Friends,
Today, I want to share a class on Bonds, Bank Failures, Bank Bailouts and how events over the last week could trigger a Market rally!
Robert

Episode 130 - Robert Young: 7 MARCH The Market & The Economy - Powell Speaks and all I Hear from Y'all is - "Why All The Fuss"?

Wed, 08 Mar 2023 04:59:00 +0000

Friends,
I love y'all - Why? Because seeing the Market lose 1 1/2% doesn't upset you.
If anything, from your texts and emails today, you are wondering why there aren't more days like today!
Today's audio is a reminder of the facts we use to govern any Tactical adjustments to our investment Strategy, where we are currently and the impact the next Treasury Aution will have on the Cash we've been stockpiling in your account.

Beginning next week, it's time to strap one of our investments to the interrogation chair, focus the "Spotlight" on it, examine basis for making the investment and challenge our process to determine if it should stay in our portfolio.
We will begin with Consolidated Communications.

Robert

Episode 129 - Robert Young: 19 FEB Market & Economy - Earning Season Confirms a Slowing Economy

Sun, 19 Feb 2023 17:38:45 +0000

Friends,
Just updating you on the recession signals we're seeing plus a new ingredient that's been added to the mix during earning season - the Year Over Year decline in corporate revenues and the warnings given by analysts and corporate management that there will be a severe revenue challenge by the 4th Quarter.
More recession indicators continue to activate.
Fine with us As far as we're concerned, it can't happen soon enough.
You're Protected & We're Ready For War,
Robert

Episode 128 - Robert Young: 7 FEB The Market & Economy - Last Weeks' Market Moves and Effect On Our Investments

Tue, 07 Feb 2023 06:56:42 +0000

Friends,
On Wednesday, our "Knight in Shining Armor" Brendan Pederson (reporter from "Punchbowl News") showed up to the post-FOMC meeting and asked one indirect simple question to Chairman Powell which triggered algorithms to react exactly as I had hoped as expressed in the 1 FEB audio.

Not only did the Market's reaction significantly impact our investments and cause a re-organization of our positions, but it also brought in a surprise.

Because the triggers for Friday's Market decline were bizarre, over the weekend, I tore both the Employment Report and Service PMI Report apart to find something fishy going on and believe you'll find the "facts" presented in both reports very interesting.

Chairman Powell will speak today. If he says anything which can be interpreted as a potential "pause" in rate increases, we could see the Market climb 1% to 2%+ this week.
You can tell it wants to. It just needs an excuse!

Fingers Crossed,
Robert

Episode 127 - Robert Young: 1 FEB The Market & Economy - Today's Fed Reserve Rate Increase and Advice From Yogi Berra

Tue, 31 Jan 2023 20:57:20 +0000

Friends,
Today is built on Hope!
We expect Chairman Powell and his Team to raise interest rates by .25 basis points (1/4 of 1%)
What we are HOPING for is language in his speech after the announcement which has themes like, "our next move will be data-dependent" or "we're going to wait and see", etc.
This will excite the algorithms into a Buying Frenzy. If this occurs, and the Market rises to 4,150+, we will complete the liquidation of our holdings in the S&P 500 and Regions Financial, take the Cash and wait for the opportunities we see approaching.

Stay Tuned,
Robert

Episode 126 - Robert Young: 9 JAN The Market & Economy - OUR INVESTMENTS - Putting The Recession To Use On 12 JAN (Thursday?) & Long Term

Fri, 06 Jan 2023 21:22:50 +0000

Friends, Last week, we reviewed the recession indicators we dial up & monitor if we get warning pings from one or two.
However, what does it matter if we can’t translate the data into actionable items?
Right??

Today, we’ll look at THE Opportunity which may present itself on Thursday (12th) and my plans for capitalizing on it, should it come to fruition.
From there, we’ll look 6 to 9 months into the future.

Hope is not an Investment Strategy… Until It Is 😊

Enjoy your day and I’ll connect on Thursday.
Robert

Episode 125 - Robert Young: 6 JAN The Market & Economy - Additional Recession Indicators We Monitor

Fri, 06 Jan 2023 17:55:13 +0000

Friends
Today we’ll cover the relationship between Inflation and Employment and why the Federal Reserve is committed to increasing unemployment!
Hint: Today’s announcement that Unemployment has dropped from 3.7% to 3.5% will make February’s FOMC meeting an interesting one.
I’ll close out by covering more of the data we monitor. Robert

Bank Lending – the last item I cover: It’s NOT high interest rates on borrowed money that has deepest negative impact on an economy, it’s the reduction of borrowed money due to increases in bank lending standards

Episode 124 -Robert Young: 2 JAN The Market & Economy - Listen to Powell / Forget Inflation Numbers, Watch Unemployment Numbers

Tue, 03 Jan 2023 13:54:30 +0000

Friends,
Wall Street money managers are fixated on monthly inflationary indicators like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) with the expectation that Chairman Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee will stop raising the Federal Fund rate and possibly begin lowering it if inflation indicators start dropping. They are already retreating from their highs - giving people the impression that a recession will be shallow or possibly avoided.
This is false sense of security and is dangerous "group-think".
I'll explain what Powell and his Team are dedicated to accomplishing and the inevitable recession they will trigger.

Robert

Episode 123 - Robert Young 28 DEC The Market & Economy - US Treasuries Indicators of Recessions & FED Rate Reductions

Wed, 28 Dec 2022 21:53:23 +0000

Friends,
Thought that I'd use the lull in the week between Christmas and New Year to share a class on US Treasuries and their use as indicators of recessions as well as recent research we've done which shows they may also indicate when the Federal Reserve will stop raising rates, pause or possibly initiate rate reductions.
This could be a very exciting development for us all...

Enjoy the Day,
Robert

Episode 122 - Robert Young; 22 DEC The Market & Economy - Break Out The Milk & Cookies... Does Today's Rally Mean Santa is On His Way?

Wed, 21 Dec 2022 22:46:44 +0000

Friends,
After two weeks of watching the value of the Market melt away (along with our account value), today's rally was an early Christmas gift.
Will it last? Nah... it's just the Season.
We'll take advantage of the next few days with the knowledge that, after 3 January, about the time the VISA bills begin to arrive, the music will fade, lights will be turned on and the party will end.

Until then, as the orchestra plays, grab your cocktail and join me on the deck under this beautiful night. Look... a floating block of ice! Hold your drink against it as I chill our drinks with scrapings from this floating cube :)
Stop being silly...there's no reason to worry or be afraid. of course, we're safe, we're unsinkable!

We're on the Titanic

Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays,
Robert

Episode 121 - Robert Young 15 DEC The Market & Economy: Chairman Powell's Speech Follow Up - Powell Is The Grinch This Christmas

Thu, 15 Dec 2022 10:34:43 +0000

Friends,
Yesterday, I did mention that Chairman Powell's choice of words could trigger a Market Rally or Sell Off. Well, I was correct about the cause/effect correlation :) He certainly used very specific & aggressive words! Words like..."restrictive policy", "extremely tight labor market" (hint - a nice way of framing high unemployment) and these gems..."The Federal Reserve is NOT CLOSE to ending its anti-inflation campaign of interest rate increases" and "We will STAY THE COURSE until the job is done!".
These words have triggered a Market reaction but not the one we wanted.

I'll keep you posted as we get through this together.
Robert

Episode 120 - Robert Young 14 DEC The Market & Economy - What We Need From FED Chairman Jerome Powell's Speech Today

Wed, 14 Dec 2022 09:39:57 +0000

Friends,
We’re on standby until 2PM today. That’s when the FOMC meeting adjourns, and Chairman Powell hits the podium to update us on the FOMC’s progress in their War on Inflation. It’s not the expected 50 basis point increase (1/2 %) that we care about, it will be the committee’s plan for future interest rate increases.
If we hear combinations like: “wait & watch”, “ pause & observe”, “we’re near neutral” or even “we're now at parity” then buckle up because these will trigger a buying frenzy and a Market rally!

If a rally occurs and lifts our position in the S&P 500 over 4100 and/or our holdings in Regions Bank to our purchase price (only a couple of dollars away), then I’m hitting the “SELL” button and stashing the Cash under the mattress for the rainy days we see on the horizon.

I’ll send an update after the Market closes (4PM).

Enjoy your day,
Robert

Episode 119 - Robert Young 30 NOV The Market & Economy - Upcoming Inflation & Employment Data and Our End of Year Strategy

Wed, 30 Nov 2022 09:22:52 +0000

Friends,
Today starts a week full of data that Chairman Powell and Team Federal Reserve will use to gauge the effectiveness of their interest rate increases on lowering inflation. Lower inflation numbers could bring us the Red Rider BB Gun / Pony we want for Christmas. Higher numbers could bring us a bag of coal.
Today, I'll review which data the Federal Open Market Committee will use in their 14 December meeting and cover our strategy for the end of the year.
Robert

Episode 118 - Robert Young: 23 NOV The Market & The Economy - Holiday Wishes vs Reality

Tue, 22 Nov 2022 05:14:15 +0000

Friends,
This is a short week for the Market with low trading volume. Last week saw chaotic Market news which could carry into this week. Today's audio dishes up a small helping of Economic reality with a reminder of the numeric goals the Federal Reserve is committed to reaching and the effect this will eventually have on our Economy.
We know what is coming and have a plan of action which guides us and bolsters our resolve.
Robert

Episode 117 - Robert Young: 14 NOV Last Week's Run - As The WHO & Edgar Winter Group Advised Us... Won't Be Fooled Again & Free Ride

Mon, 14 Nov 2022 00:52:17 +0000

Friends,
Ignited by several sources, including a Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showing inflation was at 7.7% (Hell – this came in better than the “best case” 7.9% I predicted in the 10 NOV audio), last Thursday saw the Market rise +3%.

While we will follow the advice of the Edgar Winter Group and take the “Free Ride” - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGB-8_cNgpk

We will also keep in mind the sage advice of The WHO and ‘Won’t Be Fooled Again” - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UDfAdHBtK_Q

We’ll let the Market raise positions to our “SELL” targets, cash in our chips and wait for the Recession (and Market fall) that Chairman Jerome Powell and his Federal Reserve Committee has stated that they are “committed to driving our economy into” to bring inflation down to their 2% target.

Buckle Up and Enjoy the Ride,
Robert

Episode 116 - Robert Young: 10 NOV The Market & Economy - Today's CPI Report Could Trigger a Market Rally

Wed, 09 Nov 2022 22:30:43 +0000

Friends,
Today's CPI report is the first of five reports the Federal Reserve will use to make their next Fed Fund Rate decision in December. If the CPI rate comes in lower than expected, it could trigger a rally pushing the Market (S&P 500) to 4,000+.
Regardless, our Economy will go into a Recession next year.
We are ready.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY to THE UNITED STATES MARINE CORPS
SEMPER FI!
Robert

Episode 115 - Robert Young: 2 NOV - The Market, Economy, Fed Chairman Powell & Today's Federal Rate Increase

Wed, 02 Nov 2022 10:40:18 +0000

Friends,
Today Chairman Powell will announce a Federal Fund Rate increase of .75 basis points (3/4 of 1%). This is a forgone conclusion. The focus of every Investor, Trader, Hedge Fund & Pension Manager, and every computer algorithm will be on the statements he makes after concerning future rate increases - both in frequency and level.
Buckle up...
Robert

Episode 114 - Robert Young: 25 OCT AVEO - A Class On The Adventure We'll Experience When A Company Is Sold

Tue, 25 Oct 2022 20:08:53 +0000

Friends,
Now that AVEO has been sold to LG Chemical, let's walk through the final stages as the AVEO is terminated, LG Chemical buys our shares of AVEO, how and when we will receive payment and the potential tax consequences from selling our shares to LG Chemical.
Robert

Episode 113 - Robert Young: 23 OCT Recession & Market Updates & The Latest on AVEO - In Case You Missed The Email

Sun, 23 Oct 2022 22:23:18 +0000

Friends,
A hard Recession is on the horizon. I'll cover when, why it will occur, what to expect and how we'll get through it. I'm also covering the issues effecting the Markets daily.
Finally, we'll end with a little positivity about our little bio-tech investment - AVEO
(Hint - How does a CASH offer to BUY your shares sound?)
Robert

Episode 112 - Robert Young: 10 Oct - What the CPI Report Covers, It's Importance and Why Today's Numbers Are Bringing The Market Down

Thu, 13 Oct 2022 14:08:39 +0000

Friends,
Today's CPI report not only shows that the cost of goods and services have increased since last month, at 6.6%, costs are higher now than ever - exceeding the previous high of 6.5% in March - 5 months ago!
This is undeniable proof that inflation is increasing, and the Federal Reserve must aggressively raise rates to stop the advance.
Unfortunately, the necessary action will likely drive us into a recession sooner than the 9-month (end of 2nd Qtr 2023) timeline I've been planning on and referencing over the last several Market & Economic audio-emails.
Robert

Episode 111 - Robert Young: 28 September The Market & Economy - China and a Possible Year End Rally Trigger

Wed, 28 Sep 2022 08:23:54 +0000

Friends,
Most people aren’t aware why Shanghai continues to experience COVID outbreaks, apartment buildings are welded shut, entire city blocks are fenced – trapping residents, 1/3 to 2/3 of the Port of Shanghai is habitually closed, the significance of 16 October and the event which could potentially flood supply chains with goods and materials thereby triggering an End of Year Market rally.
After listening, you’ll know…

Stay Safe, Sane, and Dry
Robert

Episode 110 - Robert Young: 26 September Market & Economy Update - Buckle Up for the End of Month & End Of Quarter Ride

Mon, 26 Sep 2022 15:04:20 +0000

Friends,
This is going to be an interesting week as three forces collide: It's the End of the Month AND the End of the Quarter which means it's "Put Lipstick on the Pig" as Fund Managers scramble to “pretty up” their portfolios and squeeze some gain to show investors.
They are swimming against the whirlpool dragging stock prices down as the Market wakes up to the fact that Chairman Powell has been telling us the Truth - The Federal Reserve will continue to raise rates, destroy the Market and drive the Economy into a Recession - whatever it takes to kill Inflation.

Oh, and we haven't stepped into October yet - just wait for the surprise I have for you
Halloween is coming early this year!
Robert

Episode 109 - Robert Young: 21 August Market & The Economy - The Federal Reserve Raises Rates Today - That Should NOT Be Your Focus!!

Wed, 21 Sep 2022 13:49:26 +0000

Friends,
Yes, today at 2:30Pm EST, the Federal Reserve announces the next Fed Fund Rate hike – Blah, Blah Blah…
Don't pay attention to any of it. The focus that we and every other investment manager will be lasered on will be the possibility of a rate increases in October, November, and December.
Today I cover Market drivers and the temporary heights we expect the Market to climb to before heading South.
I share the Lagging & Leading Economic Indicators we’ve been watching which point to the Economic Recession sitting on the horizon.
Buckle up, we’re in for a bumpy ride.
Robert

Episode 108 - Robert Young: 28 August Market & Economy - The Market's Decline - How You're Doing & How You'll Profit From It

Sun, 28 Aug 2022 21:21:56 +0000

Friends,
For weeks, the Federal Reserve has telegraphed their intent to battle inflation by raising rates - regardless of the bloodbath it created.
I've expressed this in previous audios and planned accordingly.
In this audio, I update you on your performance and how we will continue to profit from the inevitable Recession (IMO - 2nd Quarter 2023) and Market decline.
Robert

Episode 107 - Robert Young: 7 August: Recession - I Am Right, It's A Distraction / Earnings Should Be Your Focus

Sat, 06 Aug 2022 19:54:22 +0000

Friends,
Recently, a handful of misguided souls challenged my pronouncement that, "we would not enter a recession in 2022"
They have been schooled.
Now, I'll share with you the factors that go into determining a recession and REALLY what you should be concerned with...

HINT... It's not a recession 9which will occur but not until mid-2023)
Robert

Episode 106 - Robert Young: 13 July Turning Our "Spotlight" On Walgreens - This Sick Patient Is Slowly Getting Better

Wed, 13 Jul 2022 13:56:29 +0000

Friends,
For years, Walgreens languished under the heavy debt and missed opportunity under the leadership of a visionless CEO. Last year, a new CEO with vision and determination took over the helm. The progress is slow but steady and our investment will bear this out over time.
Robert

Episode 105 - Robert Young: 13 July Turning Our Spotlight on Verizon - Was I Drinking When I Bought This!!??

Wed, 13 Jul 2022 10:28:13 +0000

Friends,
First - In my head, I had the correct coverage but my mouth went in a different direction. Verizon covers 200 million people - not 20 million. This investment is an example of the importance of a process in determining the viability of an investment.
Robert

Episode 104 - Robert Young: 13 July Turning Our "Spotlight" on GOOGLE - An Investment We'll Soon Be Making

Wed, 13 Jul 2022 08:23:42 +0000

Friends,
Usually, our "Spotlight" is on a position we are invested in. Today's "Spotlight" is a bit premature. On Friday, GOOGLE will issue a 20:1 split - dropping the stock price from it's current $2,200/$2,400 per share level to an accessible $100+ level. We will take advantage of the lower "Entrance Fee" and initiate a position.
Robert

Episode 103 - Robert Young: 12 July Market & Economy - Inflation Reports, Earning Season & Forward Guidance and The Federal Reserve

Tue, 12 Jul 2022 14:22:02 +0000

Friends,
This week is a trifecta of Economic fun! We have the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday, the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday and Thursday is the start of the Corporate Beauty Pageant - Earning Season. The Inflation Reports will be the focus of the Federal Reserve, who meet at the end of the month, and money managers will be focused on Corporate Earnings.
The next four weeks could be bumpy, strap in.
Robert

Episode 102 - Robert Young 28 June Turning Our “Spotlight” On Smith & Wesson - Sight Alignment & Sight Picture Are Focused On Big Gains

Tue, 28 Jun 2022 21:34:24 +0000

Friends,
Today, we turn our "Spotlight" onto our Smith & Wesson investment.
By the end of the update, you'll see the Big Beautiful Opportunity that we have in our sights.
Robert

Episode 101 - Robert Young: 28 June The Market & Economy - Review of June and the Potential for End Of Month S&P 500 Rally - 4,000 to 4,180

Tue, 28 Jun 2022 12:19:48 +0000

Friends,
What A Month! We don't believe this is over. As I've said previously, it will take one of these events to occur: 1. FACTUAL Data Supporting Peak Inflation/Hawkish Federal Reserve, 2. FULL China Reopening, or 3. RELATIVE Geopolitical calm. Then, The Market will find a bottom - until then, the potential for another sell-off exists.
However, this week marks the end of the Month and the end of the Quarter so we'll see Fund & Investment Managers re-positioning portfolios (Code for Window Dressing) and we're heading into a long Holiday weekend - which could rally the S&P 500 to 4,000 (+2%), 4,100 (+4%) - some even speculate that 4,180 (+6%) is viable.

Never one to look a "Gift Horse in the Mouth" ("Hey... are there Greeks in there?") I'll take any gains and just say, "Thank You".

Enjoy the Week and Celebrate America's Independence.

Semper Fi,
Robert

Episode 100 - Robert Young 20 June The Process in Action: “Spotlight” on Marathon Petroleum & Exxon - UPDATE: WE'RE OUT$

Mon, 20 Jun 2022 20:05:45 +0000

Friends,
In this "Spotlight", we use The Process to review our holdings in Marathon Petroleum and Exxon Mobil. These two positions have been extraordinary performers breaking through every previous "SELL" level achieving returns ranging from 50% to 250% / 300%.
Just unbelievable!
Frankly, until last week, I thought we would hold these for several more months but National & World Players have conspired against us and Oil is beginning to break - causing a sudden drop in our gains.
The writing is on the wall and I'll be exiting with our profits to fight another day.
Robert

Episode 99 - Robert Young 20 June - The Process in Action: “Spotlight” on APPLE - UPDATE: TIME TO SELL?

Mon, 20 Jun 2022 18:55:04 +0000

Friends,
I focus the "Spotlight" on our position in APPLE by taking you through The Process so you can see it in action. We have invested in APPLE multiple times during our history and this may be the end of our current relationship with APPLE.
Let's see if it will be the close of the latest chapter in our Book of Investments.
I will discuss this with you individually.
Robert

Episode 98 - Robert Young - Investment Analysis: The Process for Identifying & Vetting an Investment 3 of 3

Mon, 20 Jun 2022 18:08:23 +0000

Friends,
In the final email on The Process (#3), I cover the critical area of a Business's Free Cash Flow - the Life Blood of a Business. If the prospective investment makes it through this section of the gauntlet, the final steps are covered bringing us to:
Price Analysis - What the Target "BUY" Price will be.
I hope you find these explanations of The Process valuable.
Robert

Episode 97 - Robert Young - Investment Analysis: The Process for Identifying & Vetting an Investment 2 of 3

Mon, 20 Jun 2022 17:57:50 +0000

Friends,
In this section (#2), I continue the review of the business's financial statements and the markers I'm looking for.
It's just math :)
Robert

Episode 96 - Robert Young - Investment Analysis: The Process for Identifying & Vetting an Investment 1 of 3

Mon, 20 Jun 2022 17:30:37 +0000

Friends,
This is The Process email I've been promising. In times of extreme volatility, doubt & fear can creep out of the shadows - hopefully, knowing there is a process for mitigating risk will calm angst during uncertain periods. In these, I outline the process for identifying & vetting a prospective Company or Market Sector to invest our hard earned money in. To hopefully hold your interest, I've attempted to limit these to 6 minutes - there are 3. This is the 1st.
Robert

Episode 95 - Robert Young 15 June Today’s Rate Increase & The Markets

Wed, 15 Jun 2022 13:20:48 +0000

Friends,
The Federal Reserve has lost all credibility and is in reactionary mode based on their realization that they did not do their primary job they have - manage inflation.
Now, we are left to suffer an issue which could have been easily managed in May 2021
Today's rate increase announcement is critical
I will keep you posted
Robert

Episode 94 - Robert Young 13 June Market & Economy Update - The Continued Sell-Off and When It Will Turn & Rally

Mon, 13 Jun 2022 13:10:09 +0000

Friends,
Friday’s CPI report & the potential inflationary level of tomorrow’s PPI report has made some Traders and Investors lose faith in Jerome Powell & The Federal Reserve’s ability to manage and reduce inflation.
This loss of confidence manifests in sell-offs.
I believe it is short sighted and outline when this will stop, turn and rally.
Robert

Episode 93 - Robert Young 10 June Market & Economy Update - Why The Markets Fell 2%+ Yesterday & Today’s Potential Continuation

Fri, 10 Jun 2022 11:45:06 +0000

Friends
Just a quick rambling overview of the trifecta of triggers which caused yesterday’s Market sell-off and the potential continuation into the weekend
Robert

Episode 92 Robert Young: 7 June #2 Health Indicator of the Economy (Recession): Housing Sales - " Glass Half Full" Realized

Tue, 07 Jun 2022 17:01:26 +0000

Friends,
Often, Life is about Perspective - which is why the phrase, "Glass Half Full" exists. Is Data giving us Good News or Bad? Sometimes it depends on your perspective. Since 12% of the Economy's GDP (think of GDP as money flowing through the Economy) is generated in the Housing Sector from the purchase / sale of a New or Existing Home and all of the ancillary purchases (i.e. – spending) created by the purchase, this sector is the 2nd most important indicator when gauging the Health of the Economy and ultimately...The Market.
Let’s just say, we’re leaning toward the negative perspective in our view of the Glass these days… Robert

Episode 91 - Robert Young 26 May #1 Health Indicator of the Economy (Recession): Retailors - The Canary in the Coal Mine

Thu, 26 May 2022 15:37:25 +0000

Friends,
Like the proverbial Canary In the Coal Mine, Retailers are our Canary when it comes to warning us about the Consumer. Since 75% of our Economy is driven by Consumer spending, we listen and what they are saying doesn't paint a positive picture of the Economy and ultimately...The Market.

Robert

Episode 90 - Robert Young 23 May Market & Economy Audio-Email - So what if this is a "Feel Good" rebound without substance? Enjoy It!

Mon, 23 May 2022 19:02:48 +0000

Friends,
There is no economic data to support this rebound. It's driven by traders looking for bargains among the recent carnage.
So what?
Enjoy the selling reprieve while it lasts...
Robert

Episode 89 - Robert Young 18 May Market & Economy - On The 10th, I Told You This Wasn't Over... What We Can Expect Next

Wed, 18 May 2022 23:28:44 +0000

Friends,
On 10 May, I explained that The Market would continue its downward spiral. Today I’m going to address the 3%+ drop in The Market, what will need to happen to turn this around, just how much further The Market may fall & why you should believe in Santa.
(Hint - Because Christmas is coming early this year!)
Robert 🎄

Episode 88 - Robert Young 10 May Market & Economy Audio-Your Going to Get a Reprieve from the Sell-Off...But, This Isn't Over!

Tue, 10 May 2022 10:06:16 +0000

Friends,
On Wednesday, April's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be issued and I believe it will be slightly lower than last month. This slightly lower number will be taken as a sign that inflation has reached the summit and is now starting down the mountain. Lower numbers will also be promoted as support for Powel & Co's (Federal Reserve) narrative that inflation in transitory, now waning and only .50 basis point increases are required. This may be all the Market needs to rally and you may see a run up in the S&P 500 to 4150 - 4200 / even 4300!

I'm not buying it and believe the Market has another drop in store for us. We'll See.

Make it a Great Day.

Your Cynical Optimist,
Robert

Episode 87 - Robert Young 6 May Market & Economy - Market's Rise & Fall (Continuing) and What to Expect

Thu, 05 May 2022 23:46:44 +0000

Friends,
On Wednesday, after the FOMC Meeting, the Market headed North. On Thursday, It headed South and is currently approaching the Earth's Molten Core on its way to China.
In this audio, I'm answering 4 Questions: Why Have Stocks Dropped to the March Lows, What's Holding Up Best, What Makes This Stop, and How Bad Can It Get? Plus a Bonus Answer - How Are We Protecting Ourselves and/or Taking Advantage of this?

Cynically Optimistically Yours,
Robert

Episode 86 - Robert Young 25 April - Sold our Position in JETS (Airline Index) Here’s Why…

Mon, 25 Apr 2022 06:05:53 +0000

Friends,
On Wednesday, after 18 frustrating months, I set our position in JETS (the Airline Index) free. In this brief audio, I explain why but that we still have exposure to the airline sector in our broad Transport Index.
Robert

Episode 85 - Robert Young - The Technology Sector, It's Impact on the S&P 500 Value and The Effects of Higher Interest Rates

Sun, 24 Apr 2022 22:20:10 +0000

Friends,
This will only take a few minutes but, given the current environment, well worth the time to review the effects of interest rates on Technology Stock valuations and the direct influence Technology Stocks have on the Rise & Fall of the S&P 500.
Robert

Episode 84 - Robert Young 24 April Market & Economy - Last Week's Market Drop and Our Investments

Sun, 24 Apr 2022 22:06:42 +0000

Last week the Market took a trip South. Let’s look at the cause, the effect it had on our investments and what a 3% 10 year Treasury Yield could trigger.

Episode 83 - Robert Young: Quick Class on Yield Curve Inversions & Recessions

Mon, 28 Mar 2022 17:12:54 +0000

Financial headlines today are making a big deal of the 5 year/10 year Treasury Yield inversion and the Bone Throwing ability it has for predicting a looming Recession

Seems like a good opportunity to have a class on Treasury Yield Curve Inversions as Recession Indicators

Episode 82 - Robert Young: 17 March Market & Economy - Fed Rate Hikes, Additions to Our Investments & Biden's Tik Tok Economic Influencers

Thu, 17 Mar 2022 21:47:18 +0000

Friends,
I apologize.
After 8 takes trying to cram 20+ mins of information on the Federal Reserve, Rate Hikes, Inflation and (I swear to God, you can’t make this stuff up!!!) Biden's Tik Tok Top 20 Influencer Program (gotta love handing the responsibility of explaining geo-political economics to a 15yr old to the American Public - https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10613795/Joe-Biden-deploys-teenage-TikTok-stars-blame-soaring-gas-prices-inflation-Russia.html
into a 10 min audio-email, I have given up and am sending this out - it's a hair under :15 ☹

On Friday, I am sending a follow-up email with the 3 sector investments alluded to at the end.
Enjoy your Day
Stay Sane,
Robert

Episode 81 - Robert Young: 10 March Market & Economy - Understanding Yesterday's Rally & Today's CPI Inflation Report

Thu, 10 Mar 2022 15:45:54 +0000

Friends,
Don’t be fooled… yesterday’s “Rip Your Face Off Rally” was not initiated by any change in recent headline narratives – Think Ukraine/Russia & Inflation

The rally was all about algorithm generated rotations from Energy to Technology. Taking profits and buying “value” stocks.
Today’s higher than expected CPI Inflation numbers brings uncertainty which is reflected in the Market’s dip today.

Now you know why we’re staying in Cash – I’ll let you know when there’s clarity and it’s time for Action.

Stay Sane,
Robert

Episode 80 Robert Young 7 March Market & Economy - Purchase Updates and Chance that the S&P 500 Will Continue to Fall

Mon, 07 Mar 2022 20:25:21 +0000

In the best of times, the Market is a high stakes poker game and right now, there are only three people left at the table – Team You & I and our nemesis - Uncertainty.
At this moment, Uncertainty is sitting across from us, a face jacked full of Botox, stone faced and unreadable, eyes veiled by mirrored sunglasses - holding a Royal Flush while currently we’re holding a pair of 2s.
But, the cards are turning in our favor…

Episode 79 Robert Young 22 Feb Market & Economy - Russia “Invades” Ukraine - So What?

Tue, 22 Feb 2022 12:20:43 +0000

On Monday, Russia entered Eastern Ukraine territories to support separatist groups who want to leave Ukraine and become a Russian territory again.
At 3am this morning. Futures Markets were down -2%. They've bounced back since then but the day is early. We will see how this all plays out over the next few days. In the meantime, we are staying the course with the true threat to The Market being inflation data and the Federal Reserve's Interest rate response.

We are not fooled by this distraction. Our focus is on 16 March, after the Federal Reserve meeting where we will get clarity on what the future holds.

But, being vigilant, we will 'Never let a good crisis go to waste" and the Markets' reaction to the Russia/Ukraine issue might just give us an opportunity to add to our holdings.

We’ll see…

Episode 78 Robert Young: 14 Feb Market & Economy - UPDATE - EMERGENCY Federal Reserve Meeting going on now!

Mon, 14 Feb 2022 17:54:00 +0000

This is a fast update on breaking events. The Canadian trucking convoy which is blocked a major US/Canada highway has now dissipated opening the doors for goods to come back into United States.
More importantly, the federal reserve is in a unscheduled, emergency closed door meeting right now. There is speculation that they will announce a decision to hold off on interest rate increases in March due to Geo political uncertainty. If this is the case, we could see this market rally. I will keep you posted

Episode 77 - Robert Young: 14 Feb - “Spotlight” on Grow Generation “The Home Depot of Cannabis”

Sun, 13 Feb 2022 18:12:57 +0000

Continuing our review of current investments, I am turning our spotlight on GrowGeneration, the “Home Depot of cannabis”. I’ll review the reasons for investing in the company, causes for the stock decline and my long-term view for staying in

Episode 76 Robert Young: 14 Feb - The Market, Economy and the "HOT" CPI Report, Fed Reserve Inflammatory Statements & PPI Report

Sun, 13 Feb 2022 17:01:46 +0000

Happy Valentine’s Day!
Last week's consumer price index report came out. This shows the price you and I pay for products has increased more than what is expected - inflation is greater than people thought. On Tuesday, the Producer Price Index report will be released. As I have stated in previous audios, it will be nasty. There’s no way it will show that manufactures are paying less for raw materials than they were a year ago. We are staying the course and we’ll see how the market reacts.
Robert

Episode 75 - Robert Young 7 Feb - The Market & Economy and Upcoming Inflation Reports and a Speculation Driven Market Sell Off

Mon, 07 Feb 2022 14:18:27 +0000

Today, I'm covering inflation reports being released over the next two weeks, the speculation which will flourish concerning the Federal Reserve's response in March and volatility (i.e. Opportunity) we could see in the S&P 500.

Episode 74 - Robert Young 6 Feb - Class on Biotech Companies & "Spotlight" on AVEO

Sun, 06 Feb 2022 13:36:58 +0000

I’m continuing on with our series updating you on our investments by focusing on the individual stocks we hold beginning with a “Spotlight” on AVEO.
This one is a little longer than most because I start with a short class on understanding what a biotech company does and its role in the healthcare industry. This will provide the framework necessary to view AVEO with clarity.

Episode 73 - Robert Young 1 FEB - The Market & Economy and The Market Sell-Off We Expect B4 Mid-March

Tue, 01 Feb 2022 19:42:10 +0000

Today I’m going to recap January’s volatility, the driving force behind the Market’s rebound on Friday & Monday, the inflationary surprise I believe is waiting Powell & Company in March and belief we’ll sell off before mid- March.

Episode 72 - Robert Young: 26 Jan - The Importance of Today’s Fed Announcement & We Added the S&P 500 to our Investments

Wed, 26 Jan 2022 17:53:57 +0000

Today is one of those day's that will be a defining moment in Jerome Powell's legacy, As Chairman of the Federal Reserve, at 2pm today, what he says and how he says it will either bring stability to the Markets or trigger a sell-off. We'll see. After the last several days of Market declines, the S&P 500 fell more than 10% off of its highest level and I opened a position in our investment allocation. If the Markets continue spiraling downward, I will add to it as it reaches my next target price. I'll keep you posted. Stay Safe & Stay Sane.

Episode 71 - Robert Young “Spotlight” on our Investment in the Transportation Sector

Mon, 24 Jan 2022 15:56:52 +0000

The addition of the Transportation Sector completes my objective for having complete coverage in this area. With this index, we have a broad net over airlines, cargo ships, railroads and trucking lines - areas that directly impact inflationary pressures. As these areas loosen and return to normal, inflationary pressures will diminish.

Episode 70 - Robert Young: 24 Jan Market Sell-Off, What We're Watching & How We're Benefitting

Mon, 24 Jan 2022 15:43:52 +0000

Markets continue to slide due to rampant speculation and panic selling nurtured by a lack of clear direction from The Federal Reserve. Today, I outline our expectations for the end, what it will take, and the opportunities we are capitalizing on as others thrash around.

Episode 69 - Robert Young - "Spotlight" on our Investment in the Airline Sector

Sun, 16 Jan 2022 20:53:16 +0000

The Airline Index is a sub-set of the Transportation Index. It's a specialized/boutique investment that we occasionally invest in whenever the "Goldilocks Opportunity" presents itself - It's got to be "Just Right". I discuss why we invested, the challenges we've faced and our timeline for exiting and profit target

Episode 68 - Robert Young - "Spotlight" on our Investment in the Technology Sector

Fri, 14 Jan 2022 23:28:46 +0000

I review our investments in the Technology Sector, the causal effect that rising interest rates have on valuations and the resulting sector re-pricing (sell-off) as well as provide an outline of our profit and the time-line for reinvestment in the sector.

Episode 67 - Robert Young 13 Jan - Inflation Rampant, Wages Drop yet the Market Climbs? Is there a Wizard behind the Curtain?

Thu, 13 Jan 2022 13:14:56 +0000

Inflation is Rampant, Wages are Dropping - The Market should be re-pricing (falling) but continues to climb.
What am I missing? Is there a "Puppet Master" in the Shadows

Episode 66 - Robert Young 11 Jan - Our Investment Strategy & Investment Process

Tue, 11 Jan 2022 12:55:13 +0000

Later this week, I’ll begin sending out an audio every couple of days "spotlighting" one of our current holdings.
It seems like a good opportunity to start with an outline on the process for choosing an investment.
In this audio, I cover the type of investing we do, how we find our candidates and the criteria/process we use to analyze the company before deciding to discard it or add it to our holdings.

Episode 65 - Robert Young 10 JAN Market & Economy - I Hate Being Right!

Mon, 10 Jan 2022 20:30:25 +0000

The market selloff which started last week and continues today, as I’ve pointed out for weeks (most recently in the 1 January audio email) was not unexpected
We have been preparing for it

Episode 64 - Robert Young 1 January Markets & The Economy - What’s Ahead in the New Year

Sat, 01 Jan 2022 18:32:41 +0000

Episode 63 - Robert Young 13 Dec Market & The Economy - End Of Year, Strap In & Enjoy the Ride

Mon, 13 Dec 2021 14:16:52 +0000

Episode 62 - Robert Young 7 Dec Market & The Economy - Enjoy The Ride 🤦🏻

Tue, 07 Dec 2021 18:30:32 +0000

Another day and Markets are up 2% to 3% - it’s Rainbows & Unicorns again 🌈🦄- Omicron is no longer a threat. Well, it was never a threat. The true Threat is Inflation, Powell & the FOMC meeting on the 15th.
This Friday (10th) Will be critical to our next move and the Market’s next move
I’ll keep you updated

Episode 61 - Robert Young: 6 Dec Markets, The Economy - Forget Omicron, Powell is the Threat

Mon, 06 Dec 2021 22:06:40 +0000

Markets volatility has been blamed on the Omicron variant - the virus is not the threat, it’s Powell and the Federal Reserve that is causing this Market to feel like a roller coaster ride. We’re keeping an eye on two key dates…

Episode 60 - Robert Young 30 Nov. - Markets, The Economy, Recent “Sales” & Target Acquisitions

Tue, 30 Nov 2021 22:32:11 +0000

Letting everyone know about recent positions we sold out of before the Market tumbled, Cash we have on hand and an update on Positions we are adding to our portfolio

Episode 59 - Robert Young 8 Nov AVEO Earnings Call & Update

Mon, 08 Nov 2021 23:28:01 +0000

Today The president of AVEO, Michael Bailey, The lead researcher and head of marketing/product development held the 3rd quarter earnings call. Earnings and revenue beat expectations and the AVEO Team discussed the biggest challenge they are facing with introducing the drug to oncology treatment providers

Episode 58 - Robert Young 5 Nov Quarterly Update for JETS - AMERICA Re-Opens to International Travelers!

Sat, 06 Nov 2021 23:17:06 +0000

This is an update on our holding in the airline industry and three events which are causing our position to take off. We're rising through our current altitude of a 20% return and rising steadily to our final cruising altitude of a 40% return.

Episode 57 - Robert Young - 4 Nov Our Oil Position & Today’s OPEC

Thu, 04 Nov 2021 13:28:51 +0000

OPEC meets today. We’ve seen oil drop in price the last couple of days with investors worried that OPEC would bow to pressure from Japan, India and United States and raise production levels. Laughable!
OPEC won’t bend a knee and prices will resume their climb. We will be selling soon.
I’ll let you know when we’re out

Episode 56 - Robert Young - 4 Nov TSP Allocation Change - Recommendation

Thu, 04 Nov 2021 11:15:37 +0000

We see solid Market strength in foundation areas and I am recommending that it’s time to make a change to your TSP allocation

Episode 55 - Robert Young 3 Nov - The FOMC Today & Our Investments

Wed, 03 Nov 2021 22:45:36 +0000

We have clarity from Chairman Powell & the FOMC - It’s time to add to our strategy and benefit from the reopening of our economy

Episode 54 - Robert Young - 2 Nov The Importance of Tomorrow’s FOMC Meeting and Our Investment Strategy

Tue, 02 Nov 2021 17:48:56 +0000

We’re waiting to hear the Fed’s Taper Blueprint & Timeline and will Adapt Accordingly

Episode 53 - Robert Young - 1 Nov Quarterly Update - Marathon Petroleum

Thu, 28 Oct 2021 12:23:27 +0000

.Solid Company with revenue sources from refining, transportation, storage & distribution which has been providing a 9% dividend yield for months

Episode 52 - Robert Young - 27 Oct Quarterly Update - Exxon/Mobil

Wed, 27 Oct 2021 20:30:29 +0000

Why Exxon Mobil? Hmmm - a solid 6% dividend yield, $1 to $1.5 BILLION in expected earnings from last quarter, a “Sell” price that’s 30% higher than today’s price, and a management team that is adapting this Beast to thrive in a Green Energy World 🌎

Episode 51 - Robert Young - 26 Oct Quarterly Update - OIL

Tue, 26 Oct 2021 23:08:06 +0000

I’m giving an overview of our OIL position and my thoughts on when we will exit

Episode 50 - Robert Young - 26 Oct the next Market & Economic email & Format for Quarterly Position

Tue, 26 Oct 2021 15:21:40 +0000

Just want to give everyone an expectation that I will be sending out a new Market and Economy audio email by tomorrow and how I will be providing the Quarterly Position Updates - hint… you won’t be listening to the audio version of Ivanhoe!

Episode 49 - Robert Young - 26 Oct. TSP UPDATE: No Change, Yet, but We’re Close

Tue, 26 Oct 2021 14:47:17 +0000

We are keeping an eye on the Market. We don’t believe that you should make any changes now, but, it feels like we’re close

Episode 48 - Robert Young - 19 Oct. Markets, The Economy, Supply Chains and What Will Kill This Market?

Tue, 19 Oct 2021 11:28:55 +0000

It’s been awhile since I felt the need to send a Market & Economy update. Technically, the 3rd Quarter Earnings season started last week, but, as you’ll hear, I consider the 2nd week the true measure and start of Earnings Season.
I outline why this Market will continue to climb punctuated by an occasional rest or stumble but it will continue forward until it meets the only foe strong enough to kill it.
The killer is unmasked and their method of execution is identified.

Episode 47 - Robert Young - Trader Talk - Mechanics of Market Movement: Options Trading Part 3 of 3

Mon, 18 Oct 2021 22:53:19 +0000

This “class” on Options Trading is longer than most simply because of the complexity of the topic. Not only did I try to share data regarding the amount of options traded but there is an attempt to provide a working example. Hopefully what is usually demonstrated on a chalk board translates verbally/audibly so that you can “see” the word problem in your mind’s chalkboard. We’ll see…

Episode 46 - Robert Young - Trader Talk - Mechanics of Market Movement: Index Weighting & Computers/Algorithms Part 2 of 3

Mon, 18 Oct 2021 21:00:16 +0000

This is the 2nd of 3 and covers two topics:

1.The impact that certain stocks have on an Index (S&P 500, DOW, NASDAQ, etc.) based on the number of shares a stock has in an Index relative to all others and the “weight” it carries – you can compare this to Congress. Don’t look at the S&P 500 as a bunch of companies, but see it as Congress. In Congress, there are 435 representatives, BUT, not every State has equal representation or voting power, right? The Tiny State of Vermont has one (1) Congressional Representative while across the Country, the Grand State of California has fifty-three (53) – whom do you think carries more “weight” when it comes to Voting and Legislative change? Now, turn NextEra Energy (yep, our old friend FP&L) into Vermont and GOOGLE into California and you begin to see how the outcome of the S&P 500 (Congress) can be effected by one company’s stock. The combined “weight” of the top six (6) represent over 25% of the S&P 500.

2.Computers & Algorithms. I’m in awe of the advancements we’ve made from the power of computers. Add in their operating instructions and you can move mountains (Wikipedia: an algorithm is a finite sequence of well-defined, computer-implementable instructions, typically to solve a class of specific problems or to perform a computation). But, sometimes, left unchecked, this combo can bite the hand that feeds. In September, a textbook example occurred which gives a perfect example.

Episode 45 - Robert Young - 18 Oct - Our Utility Company Position - UPDATE

Mon, 18 Oct 2021 14:37:34 +0000

Episode 44 - Robert Young 17 Oct -Our Oil Position - UPDATE

Sun, 17 Oct 2021 22:20:25 +0000

Episode 43 - Robert Young 30 Sept - What the Heck Happened Today??

Thu, 30 Sep 2021 23:10:40 +0000

Episode 42 - Robert Young - Team TSP - No Investment Change Yet, Stay The Course

Thu, 30 Sep 2021 17:56:54 +0000

Episode 41 - Robert Young - Monday’s Sell Off, Today’s Gains and Powell

Wed, 22 Sep 2021 17:53:42 +0000

Episode 40 - Robert Young - Trader Talk - Mechanics of Market Movement - The Fed, Index Weights & Treasury Yields Part 1 of 3

Tue, 14 Sep 2021 15:45:36 +0000

Episode 39 - Robert Young: 16 Aug - Markets & The Economy

Mon, 16 Aug 2021 17:50:13 +0000

Episode 38 - Robert Young - 10 Aug. Markets, The Economy & Franklin Templeton’s Dynamic-Tech Fund

Wed, 11 Aug 2021 22:01:25 +0000

Episode 37 - Robert Young: 2nd Quarter Investment Update - INDIVIDUAL STOCKS

Mon, 09 Aug 2021 23:55:40 +0000

Episode 36 - Robert Young: 2nd Quarter Investment Update - SECTORS

Mon, 09 Aug 2021 23:30:06 +0000

Episode 35 - Robert Young - 9 August Market & Economy Update - Is a Market Sell-Off on the Horizon?

Fri, 06 Aug 2021 21:14:24 +0000

Episode 34 - Robert Young - 28 June: Markets, The Economy & Federated Hermès Large Cap Growth

Tue, 29 Jun 2021 08:29:40 +0000

Episode 33 - Robert Young - 28 June Markets & The Economy

Mon, 28 Jun 2021 21:33:50 +0000

Episode 32 - Robert Young - 22 June - Markets, The Economy and The 4 Horsemen of the Market Recovery

Tue, 22 Jun 2021 10:18:20 +0000

Episode 31 - Robert Young - 16 June Today’s FED Meeting & The Markets

Wed, 16 Jun 2021 15:32:25 +0000

Episode 30 - Robert Young - 401(k) Clients: 14 June - Markets, The Economy & Vanguard Growth Index

Mon, 14 Jun 2021 20:39:21 +0000

Episode 29 - Robert Young - 14 June - Markets, The Economy & Airline Index (JETS) and Oil UPDATE

Mon, 14 Jun 2021 15:53:40 +0000

Episode 28 - Robert Young - 8 June - Markets, The Economy, Inflation & Spotlight on New Position - VERIZON

Wed, 09 Jun 2021 09:15:20 +0000

Episode 28 - Robert Young - 401(k) Clients: 8 June - Markets, The Economy, Inflation & Vanguard Value Index

Wed, 09 Jun 2021 08:53:32 +0000

Episode 26 - Robert Young - YFS 401k Plans: 31 May - Markets, The Economy & The Total Market Index

Mon, 31 May 2021 14:12:40 +0000

Episode 25 - Robert Young - 31 May Markets, The Economy & Marathon Petroleum - Dutch Auction UPDATE

Mon, 31 May 2021 13:52:32 +0000

Episode 24 - Robert Young - Corporate Clients - 401k Participants: 17 May Markets, The Economy & The S&P 500 Index

Mon, 17 May 2021 12:58:19 +0000

Markets, The Economy & Spotlight on the S&P 500 Index

Episode 23 - Robert Young - 17 May Markets, The Economy & Grow Generation position update

Mon, 17 May 2021 12:39:01 +0000

Market volatility & added to Grow Generation to lower cost basis

Episode 22 - Robert Young - 12 May Market Commentary

Wed, 12 May 2021 19:35:19 +0000

An overview of the day’s selloff

Episode 21 - Robert Young - 11 May Recent Market Volatility - Cyber-Attack on Colonial Pipeline, Tech Sector sell off & Inflation Fears

Tue, 11 May 2021 13:44:46 +0000

We look at the affects of the cyber security attack on colonial pipeline, the NASDAQ sell off and tech sector sell off

Episode 20 - Robert Young - Corporate Clients - 401k Participants: 10 May Markets, The Economy & Active vs Passive Investing

Sun, 09 May 2021 15:52:56 +0000

This weeks’ views on the Market, The Economy & Difference between Active & Passive Fund Management

Episode 19 - Robert Young: 10 May Markets, The Economy & What We’re Keeping an Eye On

Sun, 09 May 2021 15:33:47 +0000

Markets, The Economy and Fading Tailwinds.

Episode 18 - Robert Young - Corporate Clients - 401k Participants: 3 May 401k Investment Support - Introduction

Tue, 04 May 2021 14:03:24 +0000

Introduction to our new weekly Markets, The Economy & Spotlight on your 401k Plan and Investments

Episode 17 - Robert Young: 3 May Markets, The Economy & What We’re Keeping an Eye On

Tue, 04 May 2021 12:10:45 +0000

Robert Young: 3 May Markets, The Economy & What We’re Keeping an Eye On

Robert Young: 19 April Market, The Economy & “Spotlight” on our Infrastructure investment

Tue, 20 Apr 2021 11:01:16 +0000

Robert Young: 13 April Market, The Economy & “Spotlight” on our Green Energy investment

Tue, 13 Apr 2021 18:24:46 +0000

The PPI & CPI #s released this week and the Utility sector

Robert Young: 6 April Market, The Economy & “Spotlight” on Healthcare sector / Consolidated update

Tue, 06 Apr 2021 13:50:53 +0000

Economy, Market & Spotlight on Healthcare sector with Consolidated update

Episode 13 - Robert Young 29 March Markets, The Economy & “Spotlight” on our Tech positions

Mon, 29 Mar 2021 12:47:13 +0000

This week’s look at the Markets, The Economy & a Deep Dive into our 3 Technology Sector Holdings

Episode 12 - Robert Young: 22 March Markets & Economy - Position “Spotlight” - Apple

Sun, 21 Mar 2021 22:38:39 +0000

This week’s look at the Economy, quarter end Markets and a look at our investment in Apple

Episode 11 - Robert Young: Market & Economy Update with 1st Qtr Portfolio Snapshot

Sun, 14 Mar 2021 17:13:38 +0000

Ending 1st Quarter - Portfolio Snapshot

Episode 10 - Robert Young - OUTSTANDING DAY!! Position update for H&R Block, Boeing & AVEO

Wed, 10 Mar 2021 22:45:04 +0000

Position update on H&R Block, Boeing & AVEO

Episode 9 - Robert Young: 9 March Market & Economy and Position Update - H&R Block and Boeing

Tue, 09 Mar 2021 15:25:19 +0000

Robert Young: 9 March Market & Economy and Position Update - H&R Block and Boeing

Episode 8 - Robert Young: 1 March - Exclusive Pres. Biden Intel plus Economy, Market & New Portfolio Additions Update

Sun, 28 Feb 2021 23:33:33 +0000

Brief overview of the Economy, the Market and Position Updates

Episode 7 - Robert Young: 1st Qtr. 401k Participant Support - Plan Update, Beneficiary Form & Request

Wed, 24 Feb 2021 23:55:35 +0000

The Market, Economy and Spotlight on our Holdings in H&R Block

Tue, 23 Feb 2021 15:12:31 +0000

Episode 5 - 16 Feb 2021 Robert Young

Tue, 16 Feb 2021 21:23:50 +0000

Update on The Market and Economy - Our Projection for End of Year Levels and Position Updates: Oil & Cybersecurity

Episode 4 - Robert Young's podcast

Mon, 08 Feb 2021 16:14:33 +0000

8 Feb Market Update & JETS

Episode 3 - Robert Young 2 Feb Market Thoughts and Sell Off

Tue, 02 Feb 2021 23:48:15 +0000

2 Feb - Thoughts on Today and the Next Sell Off

Episode 2 - Robert Young's podcast

Mon, 01 Feb 2021 15:41:26 +0000

1 February A Closer Look at Our Oil Position

26 Jan Market Update and New Investments

Tue, 26 Jan 2021 15:24:40 +0000

Earning Season, Market Response, Sell Off Fears & New Investments in the Portfolio