Edward Dowd joins Mark Moss to explain why he believes the recession has already begun, but most investors haven't recognized it yet. They discuss why the economy looks far weaker than the stock market suggests, why the AI boom could be the final credit bubble of this cycle, and how housing, China, private credit, and the bond market could determine what happens next. They also explore inflation vs. deflation, the Federal Reserve, excess mortality, demographic decline, government spending, and what investors should be watching over the next 12 months and beyond.
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___________________________________________________________________________________________ TIMESTAMPS:
0:00 — Episode Trailer
00:49 — Has the recession already started?
03:59 — The 3 biggest risks: AI, housing & China
07:21 — Is AI really in a bubble?
12:02 — Secure Your Bitcoin with Unchained
12:49 — What could actually burst the AI bubble?
23:48 — Buy Bitcoin with River
24:31 — Will the Trump administration change the outcome?
29:08 — Is the housing market about to crack?
33:44 — Get a 2nd Passport with Bitizenship
34:42 — Inflation, deflation & where rates are headed
38:05 — Demographics, excess deaths & the economic impact
42:15 — Can AI solve the demographic crisis?
43:43 — 5-year outlook: Bearish now, bullish later?
47:03 — Can cutting government fraud prevent a crisis?
51:52 — Where to follow Edward Dowd
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